Tennis · M25 Roda de Bara · 07/07, 10:00
Prediction: Rigele Te vs Oliver Crawford
Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 62% to Oliver Crawford; the market gives 87% to Oliver Crawford (odds 1.08).
Recent form leaves Rigele Te with 4 wins and 6 losses over 10 games; Oliver Crawford has piled up 6-4 in the same span.
76%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Rigele Te 1460 · Oliver Crawford 1547
| Rigele Te | Oliver Crawford | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 38% | 62% |
| Market | 13% | 87% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Oliver Crawford (rating 1460 vs 1547).
- Oliver Crawford is in better form: 70% recent wins.
Statistics
| Rigele Te | Oliver Crawford | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 38% (8) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.5 | 1.5-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 9-11.2 | 12.5-10.6 |
| Aces | 4.2 | 2.6 |
| Double faults | 2.3 | 2.6 |
| 1st serve % | 68% | 65.4% |
| Break % | 47% | 39% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Rigele Te
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/07 | Gianluca Carlini M25 Roda de Bara |
1-2 | 10-11 | L |
| 01/07 | Patrick Schoen M25 Figueira da Foz · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-10 | L |
| 17/06 | Adhithya Ganesan M25 Lourinha · ~Hard |
1-2 | 9-16 | L |
| 09/06 | Joao Domingues M25 Martos · ~Hard |
1-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 16/05 | Jake Delaney M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 15/05 | Ye Cong Mo M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-15 | W |
| 14/05 | Ashton Mcleod M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 13/05 | Jintao Lan M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 04/05 | Dane Sweeny Challenger Wuxi · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 29/04 | Tung-Lin Wu Challenger Jiujiang · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Oliver Crawford
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/06 | Jurij Rodionov Wimbledon · Grass |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 17/06 | Alexis Galarneau Challenger Dublin · Grass |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 16/06 | Daniil Glinka Challenger Dublin · Grass |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 15/06 | Niels Visker Challenger Dublin · Grass |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 14/06 | Edward Winter Challenger Dublin · Grass |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 08/06 | Hamish Stewart Challenger Ilkley · Grass |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 07/06 | Mark Ceban Challenger Ilkley · Grass |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 31/05 | Gianmarco Ferrari M25 Grado · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 30/05 | Sebastian Sorger M25 Grado · ~Clay |
2-1 | 12-12 | W |
| 29/05 | Matteo Sciahbasi M25 Grado · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Rigele Te vs Oliver Crawford?
Our model gives 76% to Oliver Crawford, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.