Tennis · M25 Roda de Bara · 07/07, 10:00
Prediction: Nikola Djukic Valera vs Manel Lazaro Juncadella
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 63% to Manel Lazaro Juncadella; the market gives 54% to Manel Lazaro Juncadella (odds 1.73).
On recent form, Nikola Djukic Valera is 4-6 (wins-losses) over their last 10 matches and Manel Lazaro Juncadella 4-6 over theirs.
58%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Nikola Djukic Valera 1456 · Manel Lazaro Juncadella 1546
| Nikola Djukic Valera | Manel Lazaro Juncadella | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 37% | 63% |
| Market | 46% | 54% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Manel Lazaro Juncadella (rating 1456 vs 1546).
- Manel Lazaro Juncadella is in better form: 70% recent wins.
Statistics
| Nikola Djukic Valera | Manel Lazaro Juncadella | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 33% (6) | 71% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.7-1.5 | 1.5-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.8-11.7 | 11.6-10 |
| Aces | 0.4 | 1.1 |
| Double faults | 3.5 | 3.6 |
| 1st serve % | 61.3% | 62.9% |
| Break % | 52.5% | 50.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Nikola Djukic Valera
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/06 | Lui Maxted M25 Figueira da Foz · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 29/06 | Liam Hignett M25 Figueira da Foz · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-9 | W |
| 09/06 | Samuel De Felipe Garcia M25 Martos · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 17/03 | Kuzey Cekirge M25 Badalona · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 24/02 | Pablo Aunion M15 Villena · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 12/02 | Sergi Perez Contri M15 Almoradi · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
| 11/02 | Alberto Garcia Garcia M15 Almoradi · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 10/02 | Vito Dell'Elba M15 Almoradi · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 17/09 | Jeffrey Von Der Schulenburg ITF M15 Melilla · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 16/07 | Alejandro Manzanera Pertusa ITF M25 Gandia · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Manel Lazaro Juncadella
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/07 | Ludovico Vaccari M25 Roda de Bara |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 27/06 | Pieter De Lange M15 Alkmaar · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 26/06 | Julien Penzlin M15 Alkmaar · ~Clay |
2-1 | 13-13 | W |
| 24/06 | Johan Oscar Lien M15 Alkmaar · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 22/06 | Niels Lootsma M15 Alkmaar · ~Clay |
2-1 | 11-9 | W |
| 11/06 | John Echeverria M25 Martos · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 10/06 | Marcos Castro Fabra M25 Martos · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 21/05 | Nicolas Alvarez Varona M25 Mataro · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 20/05 | Noah Regas M25 Mataro · ~Clay |
2-1 | 12-11 | W |
| 19/05 | Axel Herberg Amoros M25 Mataro · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Nikola Djukic Valera vs Manel Lazaro Juncadella?
Our model gives 58% to Manel Lazaro Juncadella, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.