Tennis · Challenger Braunschweig · 07/07, 11:00
Prediction: Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Dalibor Svrcina
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 62% to Thiago Seyboth Wild; the market gives 44% to Thiago Seyboth Wild (odds 2.10).
On recent form, Thiago Seyboth Wild is 7-3 (wins-losses) over their last 10 matches and Dalibor Svrcina 6-4 over theirs.
52%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Thiago Seyboth Wild 1604 · Dalibor Svrcina 1516
| Thiago Seyboth Wild | Dalibor Svrcina | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 62% | 38% |
| Market | 44% | 56% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Thiago Seyboth Wild (rating 1604 vs 1516).
- Thiago Seyboth Wild dominates on serve: 11.7 aces and 55.6% break avg.
- Dalibor Svrcina dominates on serve: 8.4 aces and 48% break avg.
- Thiago Seyboth Wild is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Note: Dalibor Svrcina makes many double faults (4.6/match).
Statistics
| Thiago Seyboth Wild | Dalibor Svrcina | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 80% (10) | 56% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.5 | 1.4-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 12-7.8 | 12.7-12 |
| Aces | 11.7 | 8.4 |
| Double faults | 2 | 4.6 |
| 1st serve % | 74% | 63.4% |
| Break % | 55.6% | 48% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Thiago Seyboth Wild
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/07 | Vincent Marysko Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 05/07 | Oliver Majdandzic Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 28/06 | Gonzalo Villanueva Challenger Piracicaba · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 27/06 | Juan Manuel La Serna Challenger Piracicaba · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 26/06 | Lucas Andrade da Silva Challenger Piracicaba · Clay |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 26/06 | Luis Felipe Miguel Challenger Piracicaba · Clay |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 17/06 | Nick Hardt Challenger Asuncion · Clay |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 16/06 | Alex Santino Nunez Vera Challenger Asuncion · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 20/05 | Emilio Nava French Open · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 19/05 | Yu Hsiou Hsu French Open · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Dalibor Svrcina
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/06 | Learner Tien Wimbledon · Grass |
1-3 | 15-24 | L |
| 19/06 | Gustavo Heide Challenger Poznan · Clay |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 18/06 | Gonzalo Bueno Challenger Poznan · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 17/06 | Norbert Gombos Challenger Poznan · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 15/06 | Duje Ajdukovic Challenger Poznan · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 08/06 | Andrea Guerrieri Challenger Cattolica · Clay |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 02/06 | Maxim Mrva Challenger Prostejov · Clay |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 21/05 | Thomas Faurel French Open · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 20/05 | Federico Agustin Gomez French Open · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 18/05 | Guy Den Ouden French Open · Clay |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Dalibor Svrcina?
Our model gives 52% to Thiago Seyboth Wild, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.