Prediction: Jan Choinski vs Dimitar Kuzmanov
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 53% to Jan Choinski; the market gives 63% to Jan Choinski (odds 1.50).
Recent form leaves Jan Choinski with 7 wins and 3 losses over 10 games; Dimitar Kuzmanov has piled up 3-7 in the same span.
| Jan Choinski | Dimitar Kuzmanov | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 47% |
| Market | 63% | 38% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Jan Choinski dominates on serve: 8.9 aces and 52.1% break avg.
Statistics
| Jan Choinski | Dimitar Kuzmanov | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 67% (3) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-1.1 | 1.4-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 14.7-13 | 11.7-9.7 |
| Aces | 8.9 | 2.3 |
| Double faults | 2 | 1.8 |
| 1st serve % | 73.8% | 67.9% |
| Break % | 52.1% | 35.9% |
H2H · Jan Choinski 1 – 1 Dimitar Kuzmanov (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Jan Choinski 1–1 Dimitar Kuzmanov
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/02/24 Challenger Nottingham | 1-2 | 13-13 | L |
| 11/08/23 Challenger Meerbusch | 2-1 | 15-14 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Jan Choinski
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/07 | Frances Tiafoe Wimbledon · Grass |
1-3 | 15-23 | L |
| 30/06 | Vit Kopriva Wimbledon · Grass |
3-0 | 19-10 | W |
| 25/06 | Zizou Bergs ATP Eastbourne · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Felix Gill ATP Eastbourne · Grass |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 22/06 | Alexei Popyrin ATP Eastbourne · Grass |
2-1 | 13-10 | W |
| 21/06 | Marcos Giron ATP Eastbourne · Grass |
2-1 | 20-18 | W |
| 20/06 | Yibing Wu ATP Eastbourne · Grass |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 18/06 | Gustavo Heide Challenger Poznan · Clay |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 17/06 | Maks Kasnikowski Challenger Poznan · Clay |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 16/06 | Pedro Boscardin Dias Challenger Poznan · Clay |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
Dimitar Kuzmanov
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/07 | Robert Strombachs Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 05/07 | Rafael Matos Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 03/07 | Zsombor Piros Challenger Brasov · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 02/07 | Luka Pavlovic Challenger Brasov · Clay |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 30/06 | Ilia Simakin Challenger Brasov · Clay |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 29/06 | Peter Makk Challenger Brasov · Clay |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 28/06 | Vijay Sundar Prashanth Challenger Brasov · Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 23/06 | Jelle Sels Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 20/06 | Nikita Mashtakov M25 Samobor · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 19/06 | Jozef Kovalik M25 Samobor · ~Clay |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Jan Choinski vs Dimitar Kuzmanov?
Our model gives 58% to Jan Choinski, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.