Prediction: Beatrice Ricci vs Gaia Maduzzi
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 61% to Gaia Maduzzi; the market gives 65% to Beatrice Ricci (odds 1.44).
On recent form, Beatrice Ricci is 5-5 (wins-losses) over their last 10 matches and Gaia Maduzzi 7-3 over theirs.
53%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Beatrice Ricci 1471 · Gaia Maduzzi 1549
| Beatrice Ricci | Gaia Maduzzi | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 61% |
| Market | 65% | 35% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Gaia Maduzzi (rating 1471 vs 1549).
- Gaia Maduzzi is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Note: Beatrice Ricci makes many double faults (4.3/match).
Statistics
| Beatrice Ricci | Gaia Maduzzi | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 33% (9) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.4 | 1.4-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.6-10.4 | 9.5-6.4 |
| Aces | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Double faults | 4.3 | 1.7 |
| 1st serve % | 59.3% | 58.5% |
| Break % | 55.8% | 43.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Beatrice Ricci
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/07 | Ayanna Maria Mitu W35 Buzau |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 18/06 | Marta Lombardini W35 San Gregorio · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 17/06 | Ingrid Vojcinakova W35 San Gregorio · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 07/06 | Noemi Basiletti WTA Modena · Clay |
1-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 03/06 | Jazmin Ortenzi W75 Caserta · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 01/06 | Alena Kovackova W75 Caserta · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 31/05 | Alice Ferlito W75 Caserta · ~Clay |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 26/05 | Valentina Ivanov W35 Bol · ~Clay |
1-2 | 10-7 | L |
| 04/05 | Tamara Korpatsch WTA Rome · Clay |
1-2 | 9-15 | L |
| 14/04 | Francesca Curmi W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Gaia Maduzzi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/05 | Tilwith Di Girolami W50 Portoroz · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 19/05 | Emily Webley-Smith W50 Portoroz · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 25/04 | Tara Wuerth W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 24/04 | Vittoria Paganetti W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 23/04 | Luna Vujovic W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 22/04 | Agnese Gentili W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 21/04 | Nina Radovanovic W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 11-4 | W |
| 17/04 | Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 15/04 | Arina Gabriela Vasilescu W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 14/04 | Carlotta Moccia W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Beatrice Ricci vs Gaia Maduzzi?
Our model gives 53% to Beatrice Ricci, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.