Tennis · W35 Buzau · 07/07, 09:30

Prediction: Kaat Coppez vs Alesia Breaz

Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 60% to Alesia Breaz; the market gives 72% to Alesia Breaz (odds 1.30).

Recent form leaves Kaat Coppez with 5 wins and 5 losses over 10 games; Alesia Breaz has piled up 5-5 in the same span.

67%2
33% 67%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Kaat Coppez 1472 · Alesia Breaz 1546
Kaat CoppezAlesia Breaz
Our model40%60%
Market28%72%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alesia Breaz (rating 1472 vs 1546).
  • Alesia Breaz is in better form: 70% recent wins.
  • Note: Alesia Breaz makes many double faults (5.5/match).

Statistics

Kaat CoppezAlesia Breaz
Win %40%70%
Win % · Clay 33% (9) 67% (9)
Sets (G-P)1-1.21.4-0.9
Games (G-P)8.9-9.210.8-8.9
Aces1.10.5
Double faults3.85.5
1st serve %63.8%53.5%
Break %48.6%55.8%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.4

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Kaat Coppez

WLWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
06/07 Daria Ioana Pastoric
W35 Buzau
2-0 12-2 W
02/07 Shannon Lam
W15 Getxo · ~Clay
1-2 10-15 L
01/07 Cristina Ramos Sierra
W15 Getxo · ~Clay
2-0 12-3 W
23/06 Celia Anson Sanchez
W15 Alkmaar · ~Clay
0-2 8-13 L
22/06 Nehir Dogan
W15 Alkmaar · ~Clay
2-0 12-5 W
17/06 Marie Vogt
W15 Dinard · ~Clay
0-2 6-12 L
27/05 Marianne Argyrokastriti
W15 Szentendre · ~Clay
0-2 2-8 L
26/05 Nikola Koprivova
W15 Szentendre · ~Clay
2-0 12-6 W
13/05 Tian Jialin
W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
1-2 12-16 L
07/05 Iva Primorac Pavicic
W15 Reichstett · ~Clay
0-2 3-12 L

Alesia Breaz

WLWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
06/07 Anastasia Safta
W35 Buzau
2-1 14-12 W
25/06 Sara Victoria Balan
W15 Galati · ~Clay
0-2 10-14 L
23/06 Ingrid Ioana Sanduleasa
W15 Galati · ~Clay
2-0 12-3 W
19/06 Daria Yesypchuk
W15 Bucharest · ~Clay
0-2 0-12 L
18/06 Giulia Safina Popa
W15 Bucharest · ~Clay
2-0 12-7 W
16/06 Lavinia Luciano
W15 Bucharest · ~Clay
2-0 12-4 W
19/04 Mia Horvit
UTR Pro Beograd Women · Clay
2-1 15-14 W
18/04 Simona Ogescu
UTR Pro Beograd Women · Clay
2-1 16-11 W
16/04 Denise Hrdinkova
UTR Pro Beograd Women · Clay
0-2 5-12 L
15/04 Matylda Burylo
UTR Pro Beograd Women · Clay
2-0 12-0 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Kaat Coppez vs Alesia Breaz?

Our model gives 67% to Alesia Breaz, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.