Tennis · W35 Buzau · 08/07, 09:00

Prediction: Francesca Gandolfi vs Sandra Samir

Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 53% to Sandra Samir; the market gives 58% to Sandra Samir (odds 1.61).

Over their last 10 matches, Francesca Gandolfi sits at 6-4 (W-L), while Sandra Samir arrives on a 6-4 run.

56%2
44% 56%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Francesca Gandolfi 1512 · Sandra Samir 1532
Francesca GandolfiSandra Samir
Our model47%53%
Market42%58%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Note: Francesca Gandolfi makes many double faults (6.5/match).
  • Note: Sandra Samir makes many double faults (4.1/match).

Statistics

Francesca GandolfiSandra Samir
Win %60%60%
Win % · Clay 56% (9) 60% (10)
Sets (G-P)1.4-1.11.3-0.9
Games (G-P)11.8-10.59.9-8.6
Aces0.90.9
Double faults6.54.1
1st serve %59.7%61.8%
Break %56%55.8%
Estimated total games (ours) 21

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Francesca Gandolfi

WLLLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
06/07 Alexia Lavinia Puiac
W35 Buzau
2-0 12-3 W
17/06 Vittoria Paganetti
W35 San Gregorio · ~Clay
1-2 15-19 L
10/06 Viktoria Morvayova
W50 Hurghada · ~Clay
1-2 9-15 L
01/06 Isabella Maria Serban
W75 Caserta · ~Clay
0-2 6-11 L
31/05 Ylenia Zocco
W75 Caserta · ~Clay
2-1 16-7 W
23/05 Federica Trevisan
W15 Grado · ~Clay
1-1 16-13 W
22/05 Eleonora Alvisi
W15 Grado · ~Clay
2-0 12-6 W
21/05 Margaux Maquet
W15 Grado · ~Clay
2-1 12-13 W
20/05 Delia Gaillard
W15 Grado · ~Clay
2-0 12-2 W
15/05 Valeriia Artemeva
W15 Bucharest · ~Clay
1-2 8-16 L

Sandra Samir

WLWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
03/07 Carmen Andreea Herea
W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay
1-2 10-17 L
02/07 Linea Bajraliu
W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay
2-0 13-8 W
01/07 Daniela Vismane
W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay
2-0 12-1 W
12/06 Anastasia Tikhonova
W50 Hurghada · ~Clay
0-2 6-12 L
10/06 Prathyusha Rachapudi
W50 Hurghada · ~Clay
2-0 12-4 W
22/05 Ulyana Hrabavets
W15 Hurghada · ~Clay
0-2 4-12 L
21/05 Wilva Chan
W15 Hurghada · ~Clay
2-0 12-8 W
20/05 Magdalena Hedrzak
W15 Hurghada · ~Clay
2-0 12-3 W
15/05 Elina Nepliy
W35 Hurghada · ~Clay
0-2 3-12 L
14/05 Zoziya Kardava
W35 Hurghada · ~Clay
2-1 15-9 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Francesca Gandolfi vs Sandra Samir?

Our model gives 56% to Sandra Samir, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.