Prediction: Federica Sacco vs Carlota Martinez Cirez
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 54% to Carlota Martinez Cirez; the market gives 69% to Carlota Martinez Cirez (odds 1.36).
Recent form leaves Federica Sacco with 5 wins and 5 losses over 10 games; Carlota Martinez Cirez has piled up 6-4 in the same span.
62%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Federica Sacco 1495 · Carlota Martinez Cirez 1521
| Federica Sacco | Carlota Martinez Cirez | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 54% |
| Market | 31% | 69% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Federica Sacco | Carlota Martinez Cirez | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 44% (9) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1 | 1.2-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.7-8.6 | 10.9-10.3 |
| Aces | 0.8 | 0.5 |
| Double faults | 1.6 | 2.9 |
| 1st serve % | 60.2% | 58.2% |
| Break % | 54.8% | 56.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Federica Sacco
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/07 | Annemarie Lazar W35 Buzau |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 19/06 | Martina Colmegna W35 Mohammedia · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-13 | L |
| 18/06 | Maria Mikhailova W35 Mohammedia · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 16/06 | Valentini Grammatikopoulou W35 Mohammedia · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 11/06 | Luna Vujovic W35 Casablanca · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 10/06 | Oceane Babel W35 Casablanca · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 02/06 | Marta Lombardini W75 Caserta · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 27/05 | Marie Weckerle W35 Bol · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 26/05 | Tamila Gadamauri W35 Bol · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 20/05 | Lea Boskovic W35 Bol · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
Carlota Martinez Cirez
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/07 | Alina Granwehr W35 Aix-les-Bains · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 01/07 | Jasmijn Gimbrere W35 Aix-les-Bains · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 30/06 | Mathilde Lollia W35 Aix-les-Bains · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 12/06 | Luna Vujovic W35 Casablanca · ~Clay |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 11/06 | Elina Nepliy W35 Casablanca · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 10/06 | Carolina Dibenedetto W35 Casablanca · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 02/06 | Mayar Sherif WTA Foggia · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 27/05 | Angelica Moratelli W75 Zaragoza · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 23/05 | Francesca Curmi W50 Portoroz · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 22/05 | Amarissa Kiara Toth W50 Portoroz · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Federica Sacco vs Carlota Martinez Cirez?
Our model gives 62% to Carlota Martinez Cirez, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.