Tennis · M25 The Hague · 08/07, 10:00
Prediction: Jeremy Schifris vs Sander Jong
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 58% to Sander Jong; the market gives 87% to Sander Jong (odds 1.08).
Recent form leaves Jeremy Schifris with 5 wins and 5 losses over 10 games; Sander Jong has piled up 3-7 in the same span.
74%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Jeremy Schifris 1449 · Sander Jong 1502
| Jeremy Schifris | Sander Jong | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 58% |
| Market | 13% | 87% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sander Jong (rating 1449 vs 1502).
Statistics
| Jeremy Schifris | Sander Jong | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 33% (9) | 50% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.3 | 1.2-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.7-11.5 | 12.4-12 |
| Aces | 1.4 | 5.1 |
| Double faults | 2.7 | 2 |
| 1st serve % | 58.3% | 72.1% |
| Break % | 57.6% | 41.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Jeremy Schifris
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07 | Davide Tortora M15 Store |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 24/06 | Jeremy Gschwendtner M15 Slovenska Bistrica · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 11/06 | Peter Makk M15 Nyiregyhaza · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 10/06 | Lenny Couturier M15 Nyiregyhaza · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 01/06 | Marc Polmans Challenger Heilbronn · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 27/05 | Bor Artnak M15 Kranjska Gora · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 15/05 | Jakub Nicod M25 Louny · ~Clay |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 14/05 | Marek Gengel M25 Louny · ~Clay |
0-1 | 5-7 | L |
| 12/05 | Aleksandr Braynin M25 Louny · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 11/05 | Vojtech Mares M25 Louny · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Sander Jong
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/06 | Jesse De Jager M15 Alkmaar · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 25/06 | Manvydas Balciunas M15 Alkmaar · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 23/06 | Sammy Guinau M15 Alkmaar · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 07/06 | James McCabe ATP Hertogenbosch · Grass |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 06/06 | Shintaro Mochizuki ATP Hertogenbosch · Grass |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 02/06 | Yu Hsiou Hsu Challenger Heilbronn · Clay |
1-2 | 14-13 | L |
| 01/06 | Lasse Poertner Challenger Heilbronn · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 31/05 | Matteo Martineau Challenger Heilbronn · Clay |
2-1 | 17-18 | W |
| 26/05 | Marvin Moeller M25 Troisdorf · ~Clay |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 22/05 | Raphael Perot M25 Deauville · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Jeremy Schifris vs Sander Jong?
Our model gives 74% to Sander Jong, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.