Tennis · M25 The Hague · 08/07, 10:00
Prediction: Khumoyun Sultanov vs Karl Friberg
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 67% to Khumoyun Sultanov; the market gives 81% to Khumoyun Sultanov (odds 1.14).
Over their last 10 matches, Khumoyun Sultanov sits at 8-2 (W-L), while Karl Friberg arrives on a 4-6 run.
75%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Khumoyun Sultanov 1605 · Karl Friberg 1479
| Khumoyun Sultanov | Karl Friberg | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 67% | 33% |
| Market | 81% | 19% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Khumoyun Sultanov (rating 1605 vs 1479).
- Khumoyun Sultanov is in better form: 80% recent wins.
Statistics
| Khumoyun Sultanov | Karl Friberg | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 80% (10) | 40% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.4 | 0.8-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.8-7.2 | 9.3-10.2 |
| Aces | 3.1 | 1.8 |
| Double faults | 0.9 | 1.4 |
| 1st serve % | 69.3% | 65.6% |
| Break % | 56.6% | 31.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Khumoyun Sultanov
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/07 | Filip Jeff Planinsek M25 Marburg · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 02/07 | Paul Jubb M25 Marburg · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 01/07 | Jim Hendrikx M25 Marburg · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 28/06 | Kalin Ivanovski M25 Zagreb · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 27/06 | Oleg Prihodko M25 Zagreb · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 26/06 | Sebastian Sorger M25 Zagreb · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 25/06 | Antonio Voljavec M25 Zagreb · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 24/06 | Piotr Galus M25 Zagreb · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 20/06 | Pietro Orlando Fellin M15 Gyula · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 19/06 | John Hallquist Lithen M15 Gyula · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
Karl Friberg
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07 | Paul Jubb M25 Marburg · ~Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 30/06 | Jim Hendrikx M25 Marburg · ~Clay |
2-0 | 11-2 | W |
| 10/06 | Nikola Slavic M15 Vaasa · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 28/05 | Alen Mujakic M15 Brcko · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 26/05 | John Hallquist Lithen M15 Brcko · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 20/05 | Dusan Obradovic M15 Doboj · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 23/04 | Cyril Vandermeersch M15 Heraklion · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 21/04 | Nicolas Ifi M15 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 15/04 | Finn Murgett M15 Heraklion · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 25/02 | Rihards Neimanis M15 Villena · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Khumoyun Sultanov vs Karl Friberg?
Our model gives 75% to Khumoyun Sultanov, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.