Tennis · M25 The Hague · 08/07, 10:00
Prediction: Pieter De Lange vs Daniele Rapagnetta
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 63% to Pieter De Lange; the market gives 41% to Pieter De Lange (odds 2.25).
Recent form leaves Pieter De Lange with 5 wins and 5 losses over 10 games; Daniele Rapagnetta has piled up 6-4 in the same span.
51%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Pieter De Lange 1583 · Daniele Rapagnetta 1487
| Pieter De Lange | Daniele Rapagnetta | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 63% | 37% |
| Market | 41% | 59% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Pieter De Lange (rating 1583 vs 1487).
- Pieter De Lange is in better form: 80% recent wins.
Statistics
| Pieter De Lange | Daniele Rapagnetta | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 80% (10) | 40% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.9 | 1.2-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.3-10.6 | 10.8-10.7 |
| Aces | 2 | 1.5 |
| Double faults | 2.8 | 2 |
| 1st serve % | 66.2% | 64.8% |
| Break % | 58.4% | 40.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Pieter De Lange
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | Jakub Nicod M15 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
2-1 | 10-11 | W |
| 04/07 | Abel Forger M15 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 01/07 | Alexandre Aubriot M15 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
2-1 | 18-18 | W |
| 28/06 | Marc Majdandzic M15 Alkmaar · ~Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 27/06 | Manel Lazaro Juncadella M15 Alkmaar · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 26/06 | Fons Van Sambeek M15 Alkmaar · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 25/06 | Louis Tessa M15 Alkmaar · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 24/06 | Pranav Karthik M15 Alkmaar · ~Clay |
2-1 | 19-12 | W |
| 21/06 | Marlon Vankan M15 Saarlouis · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 20/06 | Moritz Kudernatsch M15 Saarlouis · ~Clay |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
Daniele Rapagnetta
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/07 | Facundo Diaz Acosta Challenger Milan · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 30/06 | Michele Ribecai Challenger Milan · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 29/06 | Fausto Tabacco Challenger Milan · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 28/06 | Vadym Ursu Challenger Milan · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 24/06 | Matthew William Donald M15 Bergamo · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 09/06 | Gabriele Piraino M15 Messina · ~Clay |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 02/06 | Matteo Sciahbasi M25 Caltanissetta · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-13 | L |
| 25/05 | Tomasz Berkieta Challenger Kosice · Clay |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 24/05 | Imanol Lopez Morillo Challenger Kosice · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 05/05 | Max Schoenhaus Challenger Francavilla · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Pieter De Lange vs Daniele Rapagnetta?
Our model gives 51% to Pieter De Lange, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.