Tennis · M25 The Hague · 08/07, 10:00

Prediction: Hazem Naw vs Taym Alazmeh

Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 59% to Hazem Naw; the market gives 79% to Hazem Naw (odds 1.17).

Over their last 10 matches, Hazem Naw sits at 9-1 (W-L), while Taym Alazmeh arrives on a 5-5 run.

70%1
70% 30%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Hazem Naw 1537 · Taym Alazmeh 1473
Hazem NawTaym Alazmeh
Our model59%41%
Market79%21%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Hazem Naw (rating 1537 vs 1473).
  • Note: Hazem Naw makes many double faults (5.2/match).
  • Note: Taym Alazmeh makes many double faults (4.3/match).

Statistics

Hazem NawTaym Alazmeh
Win %60%40%
Win % · Clay 80% (5) 43% (7)
Sets (G-P)1.5-0.80.9-1.2
Games (G-P)11-8.99.7-11.3
Aces3.12.1
Double faults5.24.3
1st serve %66.9%61.9%
Break %41.2%31.9%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.1

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Hazem Naw

WWWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
04/07 Jakub Nicod
M15 Amstelveen · ~Clay
0-2 3-10 L
03/07 Pietro Marino
M15 Amstelveen · ~Clay
2-0 12-3 W
02/07 Pranav Karthik
M15 Amstelveen · ~Clay
2-0 13-8 W
01/07 Ergi Kirkin
M15 Amstelveen · ~Clay
2-0 13-8 W
23/06 Adrian Oetzbach
M15 Kamen · ~Clay
2-0 13-9 W
21/04 Jacob Bradshaw
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
1-2 10-14 L
17/04 Giorgio Tabacco
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
1-2 10-15 L
15/04 Carl Holder
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 12-0 W
26/03 Viktor Durasovic
M25 Saint Dizier · ~Hard
1-2 12-18 L
24/03 Mae Malige
M25 Saint Dizier · ~Hard
2-0 12-4 W

Taym Alazmeh

LLWLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
30/06 Brian Bozemoj
M15 Amstelveen · ~Clay
0-2 3-12 L
25/06 Jakub Filip
M15 Kamen · ~Clay
1-2 16-17 L
24/06 Tom Sickenberger
M15 Kamen · ~Clay
2-0 13-7 W
17/06 Vincent Marysko
M15 Saarlouis · ~Clay
0-2 3-12 L
05/06 Kai Wehnelt
M15 Rosbach · ~Clay
0-2 2-11 L
04/06 Duje Markovina
M15 Rosbach · ~Clay
1-0 13-11 W
02/06 Michiel de Krom
M15 Rosbach · ~Clay
2-0 12-7 W
08/02 Michael Agwi
Davis Cup
2-0 12-5 W
07/02 Peter Buldorini
Davis Cup
0-2 10-13 L
17/12 Imanol Lopez Morillo
M15 Antalya · ~Hard
1-2 13-18 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Hazem Naw vs Taym Alazmeh?

Our model gives 70% to Hazem Naw, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.