Prediction: Abel Forger vs Manvydas Balciunas
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 58% to Abel Forger; the market gives 65% to Abel Forger (odds 1.44).
On recent form, Abel Forger is 6-4 (wins-losses) over their last 10 matches and Manvydas Balciunas 5-5 over theirs.
| Abel Forger | Manvydas Balciunas | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 42% |
| Market | 65% | 35% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Abel Forger (rating 1544 vs 1490).
- Abel Forger is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Abel Forger 1–0 Manvydas Balciunas (1).
- Note: Abel Forger makes many double faults (4/match).
Statistics
| Abel Forger | Manvydas Balciunas | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 57% (7) | 44% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.7 | 1.1-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 13-10.5 | 10.3-10.4 |
| Aces | 3.1 | 1.3 |
| Double faults | 4 | 2.9 |
| 1st serve % | 71.1% | 65.2% |
| Break % | 52.2% | 35.5% |
H2H · Abel Forger 1 – 0 Manvydas Balciunas (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Abel Forger 1–0 Manvydas Balciunas
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/07/26 M15 Amstelveen | 2-1 | 18-13 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Abel Forger
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Pieter De Lange M15 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 03/07 | Manvydas Balciunas M15 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 02/07 | Brian Bozemoj M15 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 30/06 | Lars Wagenaar M15 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 18/06 | Pietro Orlando Fellin M15 Gyula · ~Clay |
1-2 | 15-19 | L |
| 16/06 | Bercel Sandor Takacs M15 Gyula · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 26/11 | Yaroslav Demin ITF M15 Madrid · Clay |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 23/11 | Cyril Vandermeersch ITF M15 Alcala De Henares · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 22/11 | Gabriele Bosio ITF M15 Alcala De Henares · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 21/11 | Benjamin Winter Lopez ITF M15 Alcala De Henares · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Manvydas Balciunas
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/07 | Abel Forger M15 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 02/07 | Nino Ehrenschneider M15 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
2-1 | 19-17 | W |
| 01/07 | Stijn Hofman M15 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 25/06 | Sander Jong M15 Alkmaar · ~Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 23/06 | Aryan Lakshmanan M15 Alkmaar · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 18/06 | Nikolai Barsukov M15 Saarlouis · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Henri Haupt M15 Saarlouis · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 15/06 | Vincent Dullinger M15 Saarlouis · ~Clay |
1-2 | 6-9 | L |
| 14/07 | Jan Choinski Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 09/07 | Niels Visker M25 The Hague |
1-2 | 13-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Abel Forger vs Manvydas Balciunas?
Our model gives 61% to Abel Forger, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.