Tennis · Challenger Braunschweig · 07/07, 11:00

Prediction: Norbert Gombos vs Sebastian Ofner

Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 53% to Norbert Gombos; the market gives 77% to Sebastian Ofner (odds 1.22).

On recent form, Norbert Gombos is 7-3 (wins-losses) over their last 10 matches and Sebastian Ofner 4-6 over theirs.

63%2
37% 63%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Norbert Gombos 1528 · Sebastian Ofner 1510
Norbert GombosSebastian Ofner
Our model53%47%
Market23%77%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Norbert GombosSebastian Ofner
Win %60%50%
Win % · Clay 60% (10) 50% (8)
Sets (G-P)1.3-0.91.2-1.6
Games (G-P)11.3-1013-13.9
Aces5.79.1
Double faults2.33.6
1st serve %75.6%71.9%
Break %46.4%38.8%
Estimated total games (ours) 23.5

H2H · Norbert Gombos 22 Sebastian Ofner (4)

Head-to-head (H2H) · Norbert Gombos 22 Sebastian Ofner

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DateSetsGamesRes.
08/09/22
Challenger Tulln
2-113-11W
15/07/22
Challenger Verona
1-215-16L
22/03/19
Challenger Lille
0-28-13L
01/03/19
Challenger Pau
2-013-9W

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Norbert Gombos

WWLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
06/07 Orlando Luz
Challenger Braunschweig · Clay
2-0 12-3 W
05/07 Marc Majdandzic
Challenger Braunschweig · Clay
2-0 13-9 W
30/06 Elmer Moller
Challenger Milan · Clay
0-2 7-13 L
29/06 Georgii Kravchenko
Challenger Milan · Clay
2-1 16-11 W
28/06 Manuel Mazza
Challenger Milan · Clay
2-0 13-10 W
17/06 Dalibor Svrcina
Challenger Poznan · Clay
0-2 6-12 L
16/06 Olle Wallin
Challenger Poznan · Clay
2-0 12-8 W
15/06 Mathys Erhard
Challenger Poznan · Clay
1-2 15-16 L
15/06 Aleksander Blus
Challenger Poznan · Clay
2-0 12-6 W
08/06 Jan Choinski
Challenger Bratislava · Clay
0-2 7-12 L

Sebastian Ofner

WWLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
01/07 Hubert Hurkacz
Wimbledon · Grass
0-3 14-19 L
29/06 Hamad Medjedovic
Wimbledon · Grass
3-2 23-21 W
20/06 Luca Van Assche
Challenger Parma · Clay
1-2 11-14 L
19/06 Laslo Djere
Challenger Parma · Clay
2-1 19-16 W
18/06 Roberto Carballes Baena
Challenger Parma · Clay
2-1 16-12 W
17/06 Enrico Dalla Valle
Challenger Parma · Clay
2-0 13-7 W
15/06 Raul Brancaccio
Challenger Parma · Clay
2-0 12-7 W
26/05 Luciano Darderi
French Open · Clay
0-3 11-19 L
16/05 Kilian Feldbausch
ATP Geneva · Clay
0-2 4-12 L
09/05 Jannik Sinner
ATP Rome · Clay
0-2 7-12 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Norbert Gombos vs Sebastian Ofner?

Our model gives 63% to Sebastian Ofner, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.