Tennis · Challenger Trieste · 07/07, 10:00

Prediction: Guido Ivan Justo vs Georgii Kravchenko

Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 51% to Georgii Kravchenko; the market gives 65% to Guido Ivan Justo (odds 1.44).

Recent form leaves Guido Ivan Justo with 8 wins and 2 losses over 10 games; Georgii Kravchenko has piled up 7-3 in the same span.

57%1
57% 43%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Guido Ivan Justo 1586 · Georgii Kravchenko 1594
Guido Ivan JustoGeorgii Kravchenko
Our model49%51%
Market65%35%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Head-to-head: Guido Ivan Justo 1–0 Georgii Kravchenko (1).

Statistics

Guido Ivan JustoGeorgii Kravchenko
Win %70%80%
Win % · Clay 70% (10) 80% (10)
Sets (G-P)1.5-0.71.7-0.7
Games (G-P)11.6-7.712.8-9.9
Aces15
Double faults0.32
1st serve %68.2%72.9%
Break %51%44.7%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.3

H2H · Guido Ivan Justo 10 Georgii Kravchenko (1)

Head-to-head (H2H) · Guido Ivan Justo 10 Georgii Kravchenko

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DateSetsGamesRes.
20/10/23
ITF M15 Castellon
2-013-9W

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Guido Ivan Justo

LWWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
04/07 Keegan Smith
Challenger Brasov · Clay
0-2 8-13 L
03/07 Olle Wallin
Challenger Brasov · Clay
2-0 12-5 W
02/07 Ognjen Milic
Challenger Brasov · Clay
2-1 15-12 W
30/06 Sebastian Gima
Challenger Brasov · Clay
2-0 12-3 W
19/06 Nick Hardt
Challenger Asuncion · Clay
0-2 8-13 L
18/06 Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi
Challenger Asuncion · Clay
2-0 12-3 W
17/06 Juan Sebastian Gomez
Challenger Asuncion · Clay
2-0 12-2 W
16/06 Alex Hernandez
Challenger Asuncion · Clay
2-0 12-1 W
13/06 Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi
Challenger San Miguel de Tucuman · Clay
1-2 13-17 L
12/06 Thiago Cigarran
Challenger San Miguel de Tucuman · Clay
2-0 12-8 W

Georgii Kravchenko

WWWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
06/07 Gabriele Crivellaro
Challenger Trieste · Clay
2-0 12-5 W
29/06 Norbert Gombos
Challenger Milan · Clay
1-2 11-16 L
28/06 Niccolo Ciavarella
Challenger Milan · Clay
2-0 12-7 W
20/06 Fausto Tabacco
M25 Milano · ~Clay
2-0 13-8 W
19/06 Giuseppe La Vela
M25 Milano · ~Clay
2-1 18-13 W
18/06 Stefano D'Agostino
M25 Milano · ~Clay
2-0 12-7 W
17/06 Gian Marco Ortenzi
M25 Milano · ~Clay
2-1 16-14 W
16/06 Gabriele Crivellaro
M25 Milano · ~Clay
2-0 12-3 W
14/06 Oleksii Krutykh
M25 Ceska Lipa · ~Clay
0-2 6-12 L
13/06 Jan Kumstat
M25 Ceska Lipa · ~Clay
2-1 16-14 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Guido Ivan Justo vs Georgii Kravchenko?

Our model gives 57% to Guido Ivan Justo, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.