Tennis · Challenger Trieste · 07/07, 10:00

Prediction: Federico Agustin Gomez vs Enrico Dalla Valle

Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 68% to Enrico Dalla Valle; the market gives 69% to Enrico Dalla Valle (odds 1.36).

On recent form, Federico Agustin Gomez is 3-7 (wins-losses) over their last 10 matches and Enrico Dalla Valle 7-3 over theirs.

68%2
32% 68%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Federico Agustin Gomez 1446 · Enrico Dalla Valle 1577
Federico Agustin GomezEnrico Dalla Valle
Our model32%68%
Market31%69%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Enrico Dalla Valle (rating 1446 vs 1577).
  • Federico Agustin Gomez dominates on serve: 9.1 aces and 40.3% break avg.
  • Enrico Dalla Valle is in better form: 70% recent wins.

Statistics

Federico Agustin GomezEnrico Dalla Valle
Win %30%70%
Win % · Clay 33% (9) 70% (10)
Sets (G-P)0.7-1.61.4-0.6
Games (G-P)9-12.411-6.6
Aces9.13.9
Double faults2.72
1st serve %59.2%77.2%
Break %40.3%46.6%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.2

H2H · Federico Agustin Gomez 11 Enrico Dalla Valle (2)

Head-to-head (H2H) · Federico Agustin Gomez 11 Enrico Dalla Valle

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DateSetsGamesRes.
12/07/24
Challenger Trieste
2-012-7W
11/08/23
Challenger Cordenons
0-24-12L

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Federico Agustin Gomez

WLLLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
29/06 Gustavo Heide
Challenger Milan · Clay
0-2 5-12 L
22/06 Clement Tabur
Wimbledon · Grass
0-2 7-12 L
25/05 Stefanos Sakellaridis
Challenger Chisinau · Clay
0-2 8-13 L
20/05 Dalibor Svrcina
French Open · Clay
0-2 8-13 L
18/05 Frederico Ferreira Silva
French Open · Clay
2-1 18-13 W
13/05 Laurent Lokoli
Challenger Tunis · Clay
0-2 4-12 L
12/05 Skander Mansouri
Challenger Tunis · Clay
2-0 13-10 W
13/04 Michael Mmoh
Challenger Tallahassee · Clay
0-2 3-12 L
31/03 Tomas Martin Etcheverry
ATP Houston · Clay
1-2 11-13 L
29/03 Clement Tabur
ATP Houston · Clay
2-1 13-14 W

Enrico Dalla Valle

WWLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
06/07 Ignacio Carou
Challenger Trieste · Clay
2-0 12-2 W
05/07 Boris Arias
Challenger Trieste · Clay
2-0 12-3 W
03/07 Gustavo Heide
Challenger Milan · Clay
0-2 12-14 L
01/07 Francesco Passaro
Challenger Milan · Clay
2-0 12-6 W
30/06 Stefano Travaglia
Challenger Milan · Clay
2-0 13-7 W
29/06 Petr Nesterov
Challenger Milan · Clay
2-0 12-2 W
24/06 Andres Santamarta Roig
Challenger Plovdiv · Clay
0-2 6-12 L
23/06 Nikita Belozertsev
Challenger Plovdiv · Clay
2-0 12-2 W
17/06 Sebastian Ofner
Challenger Parma · Clay
0-2 7-13 L
16/06 Alexander Weis
Challenger Parma · Clay
2-0 12-5 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Federico Agustin Gomez vs Enrico Dalla Valle?

Our model gives 68% to Enrico Dalla Valle, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.