Prediction: Tristan Stringer vs Volodymyr Gurenko
Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 58% to Tristan Stringer; the market gives 83% to Tristan Stringer (odds 1.13).
On recent form, Tristan Stringer is 7-3 (wins-losses) over their last 10 matches and Volodymyr Gurenko 5-5 over theirs.
| Tristan Stringer | Volodymyr Gurenko | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 42% |
| Market | 83% | 17% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Tristan Stringer (rating 1550 vs 1492).
- Tristan Stringer dominates on serve: 6 aces and 54.8% break avg.
- Tristan Stringer is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Tristan Stringer 1–0 Volodymyr Gurenko (1).
- Note: Volodymyr Gurenko makes many double faults (4.2/match).
Statistics
| Tristan Stringer | Volodymyr Gurenko | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 70% (10) | 60% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.9 | 0.9-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.9-10 | 8.6-10.2 |
| Aces | 6 | 3.3 |
| Double faults | 1.9 | 4.2 |
| 1st serve % | 71.2% | 61.3% |
| Break % | 54.8% | 49.9% |
H2H · Tristan Stringer 1 – 0 Volodymyr Gurenko (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Tristan Stringer 1–0 Volodymyr Gurenko
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23/09/25 ITF M15 Ann Arbor | 2-1 | 16-10 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tristan Stringer
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/06 | Jack Satterfield M15 Irvine · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 11/06 | Gus Grumet M15 Los Angeles · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 11/06 | Avery Tallakson M15 Los Angeles · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 27/05 | Theodore Dean M15 Lakewood · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 26/04 | Anton Shepp M15 Singapore · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
| 25/04 | Hikaru Shiraishi M15 Singapore · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 24/04 | Emile Hudd M15 Singapore · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 23/04 | Jaden Dewandaka Tan M15 Singapore · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-8 | W |
| 22/04 | Shinji Hazawa M15 Singapore · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 20/04 | Barney Fitzpatrick M15 Singapore · ~Hard |
2-0 | 11-3 | W |
Volodymyr Gurenko
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/06 | Kaylan Bigun M15 Los Angeles · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 09/06 | Kyle Overmyer M15 Los Angeles · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 30/04 | Oswaldo Alejandro Reyes Tirado M15 Villahermosa · ~Hard |
1-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 29/04 | Oliver Sanders M15 Villahermosa · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-16 | W |
| 29/04 | Antoine Voisin M15 Villahermosa · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 20/04 | Victor Alvares De Castro Rocha M15 Quito · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 19/04 | Lucas Goncalves Franca M15 Quito · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 14/04 | Davide Tortora M15 Orlando · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 07/04 | Jerry Roddick M15 Boca Raton |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 12/03 | Mees Rottgering M15 Montreal |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tristan Stringer vs Volodymyr Gurenko?
Our model gives 72% to Tristan Stringer, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.