Prediction: Nicolas Arseneault vs Benjamin Willwerth
Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 63% to Benjamin Willwerth; the market gives 50% to Benjamin Willwerth (odds 1.83).
On recent form, Nicolas Arseneault is 5-5 (wins-losses) over their last 10 matches and Benjamin Willwerth 6-4 over theirs.
56%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Nicolas Arseneault 1425 · Benjamin Willwerth 1519
| Nicolas Arseneault | Benjamin Willwerth | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 37% | 63% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Benjamin Willwerth (rating 1425 vs 1519).
- Benjamin Willwerth is in better form: 50% recent wins.
Statistics
| Nicolas Arseneault | Benjamin Willwerth | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 20% (10) | 67% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.7-1.5 | 1.3-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.7-12 | 11.4-10.1 |
| Aces | 3.8 | 2.8 |
| Double faults | 3.2 | 1.4 |
| 1st serve % | 64.2% | 63.8% |
| Break % | 29.5% | 53.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Nicolas Arseneault
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/06 | Christian Langmo M25 Tulsa · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 17/06 | Jonah Braswell M25 Tulsa · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 10/06 | Thanaphat Boosarawongse M25 Wichita · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 03/06 | Oliver Bonding M15 Lakewood · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 24/05 | Henry Searle Challenger Little Rock · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 08/01 | Luca Pow M25 Winston-Salem · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-11 | L |
| 06/01 | Alex Rybakov M25 Winston-Salem · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 10/11 | Andre Ilagan Challenger Drummondville · Hard |
1-2 | 9-15 | L |
| 05/11 | Mikael Arseneault ITF M25 Montreal · Hard |
0-1 | 6-7 | L |
| 20/10 | Erik Arutiunian Challenger Sioux Falls · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Benjamin Willwerth
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/06 | Yi Zhou Challenger Dublin · Grass |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 06/06 | Jacob Bradshaw M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 05/06 | Nazim Makhlouf M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 04/06 | Luke Hooper M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 03/06 | Nicolas Tepmahc M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 28/05 | Nicolas Tepmahc M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 27/05 | Jakub Kroslak M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 22/04 | Cannon Kingsley M15 Orlando · ~Clay |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 16/04 | Toby Martin M15 Orlando · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 15/04 | Mwendwa Mbithi M15 Orlando · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Nicolas Arseneault vs Benjamin Willwerth?
Our model gives 56% to Benjamin Willwerth, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.