Tennis · W50 Columbus · 06/07, 17:30
Prediction: Tatum Evans vs Briley Rhoden
Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 59% to Tatum Evans; the market gives 88% to Tatum Evans (odds 1.06).
On recent form, Tatum Evans is 7-3 (wins-losses) over their last 10 matches and Briley Rhoden 5-5 over theirs.
75%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Tatum Evans 1547 · Briley Rhoden 1483
| Tatum Evans | Briley Rhoden | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | 41% |
| Market | 88% | 12% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Tatum Evans (rating 1547 vs 1483).
- Note: Tatum Evans makes many double faults (5.1/match).
Statistics
| Tatum Evans | Briley Rhoden | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 63% (8) | 50% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1.1 | 1.2-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.7-10.7 | 10.4-10.1 |
| Aces | 0.9 | 1.3 |
| Double faults | 5.1 | 3.3 |
| 1st serve % | 62.6% | 54.3% |
| Break % | 55.8% | 47.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tatum Evans
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Ena Koike W100 Cary · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 02/07 | Madison Brengle W100 Cary · ~Hard |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 01/07 | Carolyn Ansari W100 Cary · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 30/06 | Olivia Lincer W100 Cary · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 29/06 | Ariana Arseneault W100 Cary · ~Hard |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 25/06 | Ayana Akli W35 Rome |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 24/06 | Hiroko Kuwata W35 Rome |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 17/06 | Veronika Miroshnichenko W15 Irvine · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-13 | L |
| 16/06 | Elvira Juravliova W15 Irvine · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 06/06 | Kristina Penickova W15 Lakewood · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Briley Rhoden
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/06 | Ana Carmen Zamburek UTR Pro Boca Raton Women · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 12/06 | Salma Loudili UTR Pro Boca Raton Women · Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 11/06 | Kavya Kongara UTR Pro Boca Raton Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 10/06 | Avery Arant UTR Pro Boca Raton Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 09/06 | Brooklyn Olson UTR Pro Boca Raton Women · Hard |
1-2 | 13-13 | L |
| 19/05 | Jamilah Snells W50 Pelham · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 18/05 | Kianah Motosono W50 Pelham · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 02/04 | Mio Mushika W35 Jackson · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 02/04 | Jenna Dean W35 Jackson · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 27/02 | Nicole Okhtenberg UTR Pro Boca Raton Women · Hard |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tatum Evans vs Briley Rhoden?
Our model gives 75% to Tatum Evans, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.