Tennis · W50 Columbus · 06/07, 16:00
Prediction: Amiya Bowles vs Kira Matushkina
Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 54% to Kira Matushkina; the market gives 88% to Kira Matushkina (odds 1.07).
Recent form leaves Amiya Bowles with 5 wins and 5 losses over 10 games; Kira Matushkina has piled up 6-4 in the same span.
73%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Amiya Bowles 1464 · Kira Matushkina 1493
| Amiya Bowles | Kira Matushkina | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 54% |
| Market | 12% | 88% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Amiya Bowles | Kira Matushkina | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 40% (10) | 33% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.3 | 1.2-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 9-11.5 | 11.4-8.9 |
| Aces | – | 0.3 |
| Double faults | – | 3.1 |
| 1st serve % | – | 56.1% |
| Break % | – | 44.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Amiya Bowles
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/04 | Sophie Suh UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 22/04 | Amy Duong UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 21/04 | Maria Aytoyan UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 25/09 | Madeline Cleary UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 25/09 | Raegan Farm UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 23/09 | Tricia Mar UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 22/09 | Veronika Miroshnichenko UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 30/08 | Tereza Polakova UTR Pro Boise Women · Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 29/08 | Polina Marakhtanova UTR Pro Boise Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 28/08 | Sophia Dumitrascu UTR Pro Boise Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Kira Matushkina
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/05 | Lea Ma W35 Wichita · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 26/05 | Amaliia Elizarova W35 Wichita · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 13/05 | Eryn Cayetano W35 Bethany Beach · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 12/05 | Daniella Sales W35 Bethany Beach · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 05/12 | Ruien Zhang ITF W35 Daytona Beach |
1-2 | 16-14 | L |
| 04/12 | Maya Iyengar ITF W35 Daytona Beach |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
| 03/12 | Zoe Hitt ITF W35 Daytona Beach |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 02/12 | Mirabelle Tahiri ITF W35 Daytona Beach |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 11/11 | Elena-Teodora Cadar ITF W35 Orlando · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 28/10 | Ava Rodriguez ITF W15 Sumter · ~Hard |
1-2 | 16-18 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Amiya Bowles vs Kira Matushkina?
Our model gives 73% to Kira Matushkina, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.