Tennis · M25 The Hague · 06/07, 12:00
Prediction: Remy Dugardin vs Stijn Hofman
Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 63% to Remy Dugardin; the market gives 81% to Remy Dugardin (odds 1.14).
Recent form leaves Remy Dugardin with 5 wins and 5 losses over 10 games; Stijn Hofman has piled up 3-7 in the same span.
73%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Remy Dugardin 1503 · Stijn Hofman 1414
| Remy Dugardin | Stijn Hofman | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 63% | 37% |
| Market | 81% | 19% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Remy Dugardin (rating 1503 vs 1414).
- Remy Dugardin is in better form: 50% recent wins.
Statistics
| Remy Dugardin | Stijn Hofman | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 20% |
| Win % · Hard | 56% (9) | 33% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.2 | 0.7-1.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.2-10.6 | 7.5-13.1 |
| Aces | 3.7 | 2 |
| Double faults | 1.6 | 2.4 |
| 1st serve % | 71.7% | 54.9% |
| Break % | 34.4% | 23.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Remy Dugardin
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/06 | Tim Handel M25 Brussels · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 23/04 | Gabriele Bosio M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 21/04 | Maksim Tikhomirov M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 16/04 | Robin Bertrand M25 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 14/04 | Noah Karma M25 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 10-10 | W |
| 25/03 | Gauthier Onclin M25 Saint Dizier · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 23/03 | Mikail Alimli M25 Saint Dizier · ~Hard |
2-1 | 10-10 | W |
| 22/03 | Arno Guillet M25 Saint Dizier · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 04/02 | Cesar Bouchelaghem M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 02/02 | Ids Waterbolk M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Stijn Hofman
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07 | Manvydas Balciunas M15 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 29/06 | Yannic Nittmann M15 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 22/06 | Jesse De Jager M15 Alkmaar · ~Clay |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 27/05 | Mert Naci Turker M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 23/05 | Romain Faucon M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 19/05 | Anton Kartsev M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 29/04 | Karim Mabrouk M15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 24/10 | Justin Ilic UTR Pro Match Series · Clay |
2-1 | 14-16 | W |
| 24/10 | Marcel Zielinski UTR Pro Match Series · Clay |
1-2 | 9-17 | L |
| 22/10 | Twan Van Zijl UTR Pro Match Series · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Remy Dugardin vs Stijn Hofman?
Our model gives 73% to Remy Dugardin, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.