Tennis · M25 The Hague · 06/07, 13:30
Prediction: Timeo Trufelli vs Justas Trainauskas
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 60% to Timeo Trufelli; the market gives 72% to Timeo Trufelli (odds 1.30).
Over their last 10 matches, Timeo Trufelli sits at 6-4 (W-L), while Justas Trainauskas arrives on a 2-8 run.
67%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Timeo Trufelli 1493 · Justas Trainauskas 1420
| Timeo Trufelli | Justas Trainauskas | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 60% | 40% |
| Market | 72% | 28% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Timeo Trufelli (rating 1493 vs 1420).
- Timeo Trufelli is in better form: 50% recent wins.
Statistics
| Timeo Trufelli | Justas Trainauskas | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 20% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (10) | 14% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.2 | 0.6-1.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.6-10.7 | 8.7-10.7 |
| Aces | 2.7 | 1.2 |
| Double faults | 2.4 | 2.1 |
| 1st serve % | 65.7% | 61.9% |
| Break % | 31.8% | 46% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Timeo Trufelli
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07 | Kimmer Coppejans M25 Nivelles · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-11 | L |
| 30/06 | Justin Lenders M25 Nivelles · ~Clay |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 09/06 | Leyton Rivera M15 Nyiregyhaza · ~Clay |
1-2 | 15-19 | L |
| 26/05 | Daniel Antonio Nunez M25 Carnac · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 25/05 | Benjamin Martin M25 Carnac · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 24/05 | Paul Theate M25 Carnac · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 20/05 | Mickael Kaouk M25 Deauville · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 30/04 | Imanol Lopez Morillo M15 Oegstgeest · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 29/04 | Ole Bredschneijder M15 Oegstgeest · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 27/04 | Wout Vermeer M15 Oegstgeest · ~Clay |
2-1 | 12-12 | W |
Justas Trainauskas
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/06 | Zian Vanderstappen M25 Nivelles · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-10 | L |
| 24/06 | Olle Wallin M25 Brussels · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 23/06 | Leo Deflandre M25 Brussels · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-12 | L |
| 22/06 | Zian Vanderstappen M25 Brussels · ~Clay |
2-0 | 11-2 | W |
| 26/05 | Max Pade M15 Kranjska Gora · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 20/05 | Dominik Recek M15 Klagenfurt · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 18/05 | Benedikt Szerencsits M15 Klagenfurt · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 21/04 | Alexandre Reco M15 Sanxenxo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 20/04 | Mario Arce Fernandez M15 Sanxenxo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 19/03 | Robert Strombachs M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Timeo Trufelli vs Justas Trainauskas?
Our model gives 67% to Timeo Trufelli, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.