Tennis · M25 The Hague · 06/07, 12:00

Prediction: Rohan Mehra vs Lenny Couturier

Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 54% to Lenny Couturier; the market gives 63% to Lenny Couturier (odds 1.50).

On recent form, Rohan Mehra is 5-5 (wins-losses) over their last 10 matches and Lenny Couturier 5-5 over theirs.

59%2
41% 59%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Rohan Mehra 1471 · Lenny Couturier 1500
Rohan MehraLenny Couturier
Our model46%54%
Market38%63%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Rohan MehraLenny Couturier
Win %40%50%
Win % · Hard 40% (10)
Sets (G-P)0.9-1.31-1
Games (G-P)10.4-10.79.2-9.2
Aces6.71.4
Double faults3.11.7
1st serve %72.8%65.6%
Break %39.7%53.6%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.1

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Rohan Mehra

LWLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
30/06 Daniil Ostapenkov
M25 Figueira da Foz · ~Hard
0-2 8-13 L
29/06 Salvador Monteiro
M25 Figueira da Foz · ~Hard
2-0 12-5 W
26/03 Sidharth Rawat
M15 Ahmedabad · ~Hard
0-2 4-12 L
24/03 Ishaque Eqbal
M15 Ahmedabad · ~Hard
2-1 15-11 W
16/03 Arjun Rathi
M25 Mumbai · ~Hard
1-2 12-12 L
12/03 Abhinav Sanjeev Shanmugam
M25 Kolkata · ~Hard
0-2 11-14 L
11/03 Udit Kamboj
M25 Kolkata · ~Hard
2-0 12-5 W
25/02 Tomas Luis
M25 Vale do Lobo · ~Hard
0-2 8-12 L
23/02 Ren Nakamura
M25 Vale do Lobo · ~Hard
2-0 13-10 W
28/01 Nitin Kumar Sinha
M15 Hyderabad · ~Hard
0-2 9-13 L

Lenny Couturier

WLWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
30/06 Daniel Dutra Da Silva
M25 Nivelles · ~Clay
0-2 5-12 L
29/06 Marcel Hornung
M25 Nivelles · ~Clay
2-0 13-7 W
28/06 Melvin Vix
M25 Nivelles · ~Clay
2-0 12-4 W
10/06 Jeremy Schifris
M15 Nyiregyhaza · ~Clay
0-2 7-12 L
09/06 Baltazar Wiger Nordas
M15 Nyiregyhaza · ~Clay
2-0 12-6 W
25/05 Mathys Picard
M25 Carnac · ~Clay
0-2 6-12 L
24/05 Matthieu Chambonniere
M25 Carnac · ~Clay
2-0 12-7 W
19/05 Tristan Berard
M25 Deauville · ~Clay
0-2 6-12 L
29/04 Mac Visser
M15 Oegstgeest · ~Clay
0-2 6-13 L
27/04 Jonas Pelle Hartenstein
M15 Oegstgeest · ~Clay
2-0 13-7 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Rohan Mehra vs Lenny Couturier?

Our model gives 59% to Lenny Couturier, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.