Tennis · M25 Bastia-Lucciana · 06/07, 12:30
Prediction: Damien Salvestre vs Timeo Bretin
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 57% to Damien Salvestre; the market gives 88% to Damien Salvestre (odds 1.06).
Recent form leaves Damien Salvestre with 5 wins and 5 losses over 10 games; Timeo Bretin has piled up 5-5 in the same span.
74%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Damien Salvestre 1495 · Timeo Bretin 1446
| Damien Salvestre | Timeo Bretin | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 43% |
| Market | 88% | 12% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Damien Salvestre (rating 1495 vs 1446).
Statistics
| Damien Salvestre | Timeo Bretin | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 30% |
| Win % · Clay | 67% (3) | 25% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.2 | 1-1.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.4-10.3 | 10.9-12.7 |
| Aces | 5.7 | 1 |
| Double faults | 2.9 | 3.6 |
| 1st serve % | 73% | 59.8% |
| Break % | 42.8% | 47.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Damien Salvestre
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07 | Viktor Durasovic M25 Ajaccio · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 10/03 | Silvio Mencaglia M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 7-10 | L |
| 28/01 | Nicolas Robert M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 27/01 | Giovanni Ciocca M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 28/10 | Tiago Pires UTR Pro College Station · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 27/10 | Lathan Skrobarcek UTR Pro College Station · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 31/08 | Justin Engel Challenger Cassis · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 30/08 | Maxime Chazal ITF M15 Cap D'Agde · Clay |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 29/08 | Amaury Raynel ITF M15 Cap D'Agde · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 26/08 | Andrea Meduri ITF M15 Cap D'Agde · Clay |
2-1 | 19-14 | W |
Timeo Bretin
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | Benoit Geldof M25 Bastia-Lucciana |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 15/06 | Andrea M'chich M15 Bourg-en-Bresse · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 14/06 | Victor Barreira Bonzom M15 Bourg-en-Bresse · ~Clay |
2-1 | 13-10 | W |
| 24/05 | Pierre Antoine Faut M25 Carnac · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 16/05 | Noah Boutleux UTR Pro Match Series · Clay |
1-2 | 13-12 | L |
| 14/05 | Yassine Smiej UTR Pro Match Series · Clay |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 13/05 | Pierre Antoine Tailleu UTR Pro Match Series · Clay |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 12/05 | Zen David Uehling UTR Pro Match Series · Clay |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 11/05 | Lenny Galley UTR Pro Match Series · Clay |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 09/07 | Gianluca Cadenasso M25 Bastia-Lucciana |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Damien Salvestre vs Timeo Bretin?
Our model gives 74% to Damien Salvestre, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.