Tennis · M25 Roda de Bara · 06/07, 14:00

Prediction: Carles Rojas vs Isaac Becroft

Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 53% to Isaac Becroft; the market gives 87% to Isaac Becroft (odds 1.08).

Recent form leaves Carles Rojas with 3 wins and 7 losses over 10 games; Isaac Becroft has piled up 4-6 in the same span.

71%2
29% 71%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Carles Rojas 1455 · Isaac Becroft 1476
Carles RojasIsaac Becroft
Our model47%53%
Market13%87%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Carles RojasIsaac Becroft
Win %30%40%
Win % · Hard 33% (6) 44% (9)
Sets (G-P)0.8-1.40.9-1.2
Games (G-P)8.1-10.89.1-8.2
Aces1.34
Double faults2.81
1st serve %57.2%66.4%
Break %57.8%53.2%
Estimated total games (ours) 19.3

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Carles Rojas

WLWLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
29/06 Vasco L Prata
M25 Figueira da Foz · ~Hard
0-2 7-13 L
23/06 Sergio Callejon Hernando
M25 Bakio · ~Hard
0-2 0-12 L
22/06 Rafael Ymer
M25 Bakio · ~Hard
2-0 13-9 W
16/06 Edouard Villoslada
M15 Mungia-Laukariz · ~Clay
1-2 12-16 L
14/06 Jon Careaga
M15 Mungia-Laukariz · ~Clay
2-0 11-6 W
12/05 Keaton Hance
M25 Vic
0-2 4-12 L
06/05 Gastao Elias
M25 Loule · ~Hard
0-2 6-12 L
04/05 Jose Freitas
M25 Loule · ~Hard
2-0 12-3 W
20/04 Louis Van Herck
M15 Sanxenxo · ~Hard
0-2 6-13 L
13/01 Filippo Alberti
M15 Manacor
1-2 10-12 L

Isaac Becroft

LLWLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
28/06 Yanis Ghazouani Durand
Challenger Troyes · Clay
0-2 6-12 L
25/06 Mathys Picard
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
1-2 14-13 L
23/06 Louis Allen
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 12-3 W
17/06 Gianluca Carlini
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
0-2 7-12 L
11/06 Roger Pascual Ferra
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
0-2 2-8 L
10/06 Augusto Mateo Lucarelli
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 12-2 W
15/05 Anton Shepp
M15 Nakhon Pathom · ~Hard
0-2 8-13 L
14/05 Markus Malaszszak
M15 Nakhon Pathom · ~Hard
2-0 12-5 W
12/05 Fitriadi M Rifqi
M15 Nakhon Pathom · ~Hard
2-0 12-3 W
07/05 Cruz Hewitt
M25 Nakhon Pathom · ~Hard
0-2 6-11 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Carles Rojas vs Isaac Becroft?

Our model gives 71% to Isaac Becroft, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.