Tennis · Challenger Trieste · 06/07, 10:00
Prediction: Andrej Martin vs Henry Bernet
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 55% to Andrej Martin; the market gives 49% to Andrej Martin (odds 1.91).
Recent form leaves Andrej Martin with 6 wins and 4 losses over 10 games; Henry Bernet has piled up 6-4 in the same span.
52%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Andrej Martin 1553 · Henry Bernet 1516
| Andrej Martin | Henry Bernet | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 45% |
| Market | 49% | 51% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Andrej Martin | Henry Bernet | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 70% (10) | 50% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-1.1 | 1.3-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.2-11 | 10.1-9 |
| Aces | 3.9 | 4.3 |
| Double faults | 2.8 | 1.5 |
| 1st serve % | 68.8% | 72.7% |
| Break % | 50.3% | 45.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Andrej Martin
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | Samuel Zannoni Challenger Trieste · Clay |
2-1 | 18-10 | W |
| 04/07 | Lorenzo Angelini M15 Umag · ~Clay |
0-2 | 1-7 | L |
| 03/07 | Lorenzo Bocchi M15 Umag · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
| 02/07 | Ivan Biletic M15 Umag · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 01/07 | Vito Antonio Darderi M15 Umag · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 16/06 | Adrien Burdet M25 Klosters · ~Clay |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
| 10/06 | Petr Brunclik Challenger Bratislava · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 09/06 | Tiago Pereira Challenger Bratislava · Clay |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 08/06 | Alex Marti Pujolras Challenger Bratislava · Clay |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 07/06 | Daniel Michalski Challenger Bratislava · Clay |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
Henry Bernet
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | Leonardo Iemmi Challenger Trieste · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 23/06 | Marcello Serafini M15 Bergamo · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 19/06 | Sandro Kopp M25 Klosters · ~Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 18/06 | Flynn Thomas M25 Klosters · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 17/06 | Jan Sebesta M25 Klosters · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 13/06 | Sandro Kopp M25 Varnamo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 12/06 | Noah Schlagenhauf M25 Varnamo · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 11/06 | Vincent Dullinger M25 Varnamo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 9-5 | W |
| 10/06 | Henrik Bladelius M25 Varnamo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 16/05 | Francisco Comesana ATP Geneva · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Andrej Martin vs Henry Bernet?
Our model gives 52% to Andrej Martin, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.