Tennis · Challenger Liege · 06/07, 10:00
Prediction: Leo Raquillet vs Franco Ribero
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 52% to Franco Ribero; the market gives 59% to Leo Raquillet (odds 1.57).
Over their last 10 matches, Leo Raquillet sits at 5-5 (W-L), while Franco Ribero arrives on a 5-5 run.
54%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Leo Raquillet 1487 · Franco Ribero 1504
| Leo Raquillet | Franco Ribero | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 52% |
| Market | 59% | 41% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Leo Raquillet | Franco Ribero | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 40% (5) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.3 | 1.1-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.3-10.8 | 10.1-10.1 |
| Aces | 1 | 2.1 |
| Double faults | 2.6 | 2 |
| 1st serve % | 60.6% | 63.7% |
| Break % | 45% | 46.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Leo Raquillet
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | Tomohiro Masabayashi Challenger Liege · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 30/06 | Marko Topo Challenger Troyes · Clay |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 18/06 | Kilian Feldbausch Challenger Royan · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Manas Manoj Dhamne Challenger Royan · Clay |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 07/06 | Svyatoslav Gulin Challenger Lyon · Clay |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 21/05 | Conor Gannon M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-12 | L |
| 20/05 | Ibrahim Snoussi M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 15/05 | Nicolas Jadoun M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 14/05 | Conor Gannon M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 02/05 | Henry Searle M25 Nottingham |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Franco Ribero
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | Alessio Basile Challenger Liege · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 29/06 | Pavel Lagutin Challenger Troyes · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 28/06 | Benoit Geldof Challenger Troyes · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 21/06 | Felix Balshaw Challenger Targu Mures · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Pavel Kotov Challenger Royan · Clay |
1-2 | 10-18 | L |
| 15/06 | Nitin Kumar Sinha Challenger Royan · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 14/06 | Alexandre Reco Challenger Royan · Clay |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 09/06 | Gian Marco Ortenzi M15 Messina · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-11 | L |
| 05/06 | Robert Guna M25 Bistrita · ~Clay |
0-1 | 10-12 | L |
| 04/06 | Nicolas Garcia Longo M25 Bistrita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Leo Raquillet vs Franco Ribero?
Our model gives 54% to Leo Raquillet, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.