Prediction: Cristiana Nicoleta Todoni vs Ilinca Sagmar
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 56% to Cristiana Nicoleta Todoni; the market gives 65% to Cristiana Nicoleta Todoni (odds 1.44).
On recent form, Cristiana Nicoleta Todoni is 4-6 (wins-losses) over their last 10 matches and Ilinca Sagmar 5-5 over theirs.
61%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Cristiana Nicoleta Todoni 1525 · Ilinca Sagmar 1482
| Cristiana Nicoleta Todoni | Ilinca Sagmar | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 44% |
| Market | 65% | 35% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Cristiana Nicoleta Todoni (rating 1525 vs 1482).
- Note: Cristiana Nicoleta Todoni makes many double faults (5.6/match).
Statistics
| Cristiana Nicoleta Todoni | Ilinca Sagmar | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 60% (10) | 43% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.1 | 0.9-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.5-10.6 | 8.1-9.7 |
| Aces | 1.3 | 0.6 |
| Double faults | 5.6 | 2.8 |
| 1st serve % | 57.4% | 56.3% |
| Break % | 55.2% | 51.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Cristiana Nicoleta Todoni
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/06 | Irina Fetecau W15 Galati · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Teodora Miron W15 Galati · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 16/06 | Diana-Ioana Simionescu W15 Bucharest · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 06/06 | Sophie Greiner W15 Focsani · ~Clay |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 05/06 | Sara Victoria Balan W15 Focsani · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 05/06 | Aurora Nosei W15 Focsani · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 04/06 | Ilinca D Amariei W15 Focsani · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 16/05 | Valeriia Artemeva W15 Bucharest · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 15/05 | Maria Sara Popa W15 Bucharest · ~Clay |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 14/05 | Simona Ogescu W15 Bucharest · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
Ilinca Sagmar
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/06 | Marta Soriano Santiago W15 Galati · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 23/06 | Alexia Lavinia Puiac W15 Galati · ~Clay |
2-0 | 11-6 | W |
| 18/06 | Iulia Maria Buculei W15 Bucharest · ~Clay |
1-2 | 8-17 | L |
| 17/06 | Laura Brunkel W15 Bucharest · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 16/06 | Alessandra Anghel W15 Bucharest · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 19/05 | Elena Korokozidi W35 Bol · ~Clay |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 13/05 | Chiara Fornasieri W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 09/03 | Sofiia Nagornaia W50 Heraklion · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 08/03 | Anna Jakovleva W50 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 11-0 | W |
| 04/03 | Nina Vargova W35 Heraklion · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Cristiana Nicoleta Todoni vs Ilinca Sagmar?
Our model gives 61% to Cristiana Nicoleta Todoni, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.