Tennis · W35 Buzau · 06/07, 11:00

Prediction: Francesca Gandolfi vs Alexia Lavinia Puiac

Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 60% to Francesca Gandolfi; the market gives 87% to Francesca Gandolfi (odds 1.08).

Recent form leaves Francesca Gandolfi with 6 wins and 4 losses over 10 games; Alexia Lavinia Puiac has piled up 4-6 in the same span.

75%1
75% 25%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Francesca Gandolfi 1519 · Alexia Lavinia Puiac 1448
Francesca GandolfiAlexia Lavinia Puiac
Our model60%40%
Market87%13%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Francesca Gandolfi (rating 1519 vs 1448).
  • Francesca Gandolfi is in better form: 60% recent wins.
  • Note: Francesca Gandolfi makes many double faults (6.2/match).

Statistics

Francesca GandolfiAlexia Lavinia Puiac
Win %60%30%
Win % · Clay 60% (10) 25% (4)
Sets (G-P)1.4-1.10.7-1.4
Games (G-P)11.8-10.58.3-11.1
Aces0.90.3
Double faults6.22.9
1st serve %57.5%47.5%
Break %53.3%48.8%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.3

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Francesca Gandolfi

WWLLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
17/06 Vittoria Paganetti
W35 San Gregorio · ~Clay
1-2 15-19 L
10/06 Viktoria Morvayova
W50 Hurghada · ~Clay
1-2 9-15 L
01/06 Isabella Maria Serban
W75 Caserta · ~Clay
0-2 6-11 L
31/05 Ylenia Zocco
W75 Caserta · ~Clay
2-1 16-7 W
23/05 Federica Trevisan
W15 Grado · ~Clay
1-1 16-13 W
22/05 Eleonora Alvisi
W15 Grado · ~Clay
2-0 12-6 W
21/05 Margaux Maquet
W15 Grado · ~Clay
2-1 12-13 W
20/05 Delia Gaillard
W15 Grado · ~Clay
2-0 12-2 W
15/05 Valeriia Artemeva
W15 Bucharest · ~Clay
1-2 8-16 L
14/05 Simona Cucu
W15 Bucharest · ~Clay
2-0 12-3 W

Alexia Lavinia Puiac

LWLLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
01/07 Duru Soke
W15 Kayseri · ~Hard
0-2 2-12 L
23/06 Ilinca Sagmar
W15 Galati · ~Clay
0-2 6-11 L
15/06 Irina Fetecau
W50 Haskovo · ~Clay
0-2 5-12 L
14/06 Steliana Gicheva
W50 Haskovo · ~Clay
2-0 13-6 W
10/06 Carmen Gallardo Guevara
W15 Madrid
0-2 2-12 L
09/06 Ksenija Rage
W15 Madrid
1-0 12-9 W
04/06 Diana-Ioana Simionescu
W15 Focsani · ~Clay
0-2 3-12 L
28/05 Ada Kumru
W15 Kayseri · ~Hard
1-2 14-15 L
27/05 Semra Aksu
W15 Kayseri · ~Hard
2-0 13-5 W
19/05 Asylzhan Arystanbekova
W15 Kayseri · ~Hard
1-2 13-17 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Francesca Gandolfi vs Alexia Lavinia Puiac?

Our model gives 75% to Francesca Gandolfi, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.