Tennis · W35 Buzau · 06/07, 09:30

Prediction: Federica Sacco vs Annemarie Lazar

Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 58% to Annemarie Lazar; the market gives 79% to Federica Sacco (odds 1.17).

Over their last 10 matches, Federica Sacco sits at 5-5 (W-L), while Annemarie Lazar arrives on a 7-3 run.

63%1
63% 37%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Federica Sacco 1500 · Annemarie Lazar 1553
Federica SaccoAnnemarie Lazar
Our model42%58%
Market79%21%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Annemarie Lazar (rating 1500 vs 1553).

Statistics

Federica SaccoAnnemarie Lazar
Win %50%70%
Win % · Clay 50% (10) 70% (10)
Sets (G-P)1.1-11.6-0.6
Games (G-P)9.7-8.511.2-7.6
Aces0.60.8
Double faults1.71.8
1st serve %58.5%61.5%
Break %55.9%57.8%
Estimated total games (ours) 19.8

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Federica Sacco

WLWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
19/06 Martina Colmegna
W35 Mohammedia · ~Clay
1-2 13-13 L
18/06 Maria Mikhailova
W35 Mohammedia · ~Clay
2-0 12-2 W
16/06 Valentini Grammatikopoulou
W35 Mohammedia · ~Clay
2-0 12-5 W
11/06 Luna Vujovic
W35 Casablanca · ~Clay
0-2 5-12 L
10/06 Oceane Babel
W35 Casablanca · ~Clay
2-0 12-4 W
02/06 Marta Lombardini
W75 Caserta · ~Clay
0-2 7-12 L
27/05 Marie Weckerle
W35 Bol · ~Clay
0-2 9-13 L
26/05 Tamila Gadamauri
W35 Bol · ~Clay
2-0 13-8 W
20/05 Lea Boskovic
W35 Bol · ~Clay
0-2 2-12 L
19/05 Mariia Masiianskaia
W35 Bol · ~Clay
2-0 12-4 W

Annemarie Lazar

WWWLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
29/06 Monika Wojcik
W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay
1-2 8-11 L
10/06 Polina Leykina
W15 Merzig · ~Clay
0-2 11-14 L
09/06 Hanna Bougouffa
W15 Merzig · ~Clay
2-0 12-1 W
24/05 Andrea Nova
UTR Pro Ahaus Women · Clay
2-0 12-5 W
23/05 Valentina Khrebtova
UTR Pro Ahaus Women · Clay
2-0 13-8 W
22/05 Polina Kuharenko
UTR Pro Ahaus Women · Clay
2-0 13-8 W
21/05 Vivien Sandberg
UTR Pro Ahaus Women · Clay
2-0 12-6 W
20/05 Alina Kornieieva
UTR Pro Ahaus Women · Clay
2-0 12-8 W
19/05 Fenna Steveker
UTR Pro Ahaus Women · Clay
2-0 12-5 W
27/04 Lisa Claeys
W15 Oegstgeest · ~Clay
1-2 7-10 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Federica Sacco vs Annemarie Lazar?

Our model gives 63% to Federica Sacco, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.