Tennis · Challenger Liege · 06/07, 12:30
Prediction: Tsung-Hao Huang vs Saba Purtseladze
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 58% to Saba Purtseladze; the market gives 66% to Saba Purtseladze (odds 1.40).
Over their last 10 matches, Tsung-Hao Huang sits at 5-5 (W-L), while Saba Purtseladze arrives on a 6-4 run.
63%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Tsung-Hao Huang 1470 · Saba Purtseladze 1528
| Tsung-Hao Huang | Saba Purtseladze | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 58% |
| Market | 34% | 66% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Saba Purtseladze (rating 1470 vs 1528).
- Saba Purtseladze dominates on serve: 7.3 aces and 44.6% break avg.
- Note: Saba Purtseladze makes many double faults (6.6/match).
Statistics
| Tsung-Hao Huang | Saba Purtseladze | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 33% (3) | 67% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.4 | 1.5-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.6-11.6 | 13.5-11.5 |
| Aces | 1.1 | 7.3 |
| Double faults | 2.3 | 6.6 |
| 1st serve % | 63.3% | 71.8% |
| Break % | 42.3% | 44.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tsung-Hao Huang
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | Gabriele Maria Noce Challenger Liege · Clay |
2-1 | 13-11 | W |
| 28/06 | Theo Papamalamis Challenger Troyes · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 21/06 | Nitin Kumar Sinha Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 09/06 | Dong Ju Kim M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 05/06 | Yaojie Zeng M15 Luan · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 04/06 | James Van Herzeele M15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-1 | 10-10 | W |
| 03/06 | Zhenxiong Dong M15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 28/05 | Minghui Zhang M15 Luan · ~Hard |
1-2 | 8-15 | L |
| 27/05 | Ryotaro Taguchi M15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 20/05 | Yuta Tomida M15 Luan · ~Hard |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
Saba Purtseladze
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | Edouard Villoslada Challenger Liege · Clay |
2-1 | 16-7 | W |
| 03/07 | Daniel Siniakov M25 Marburg · ~Clay |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 02/07 | Calvin Mueller M25 Marburg · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 01/07 | Michael Bassem Sobhy M25 Marburg · ~Clay |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 25/06 | Dimitris Sakellaridis M25 Zagreb · ~Clay |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 24/06 | Ivan Biletic M25 Zagreb · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 13/06 | Tamerlan Azizov Davis Cup |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 12/06 | Oleg Prihodko Davis Cup |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
| 11/06 | Radu Albot Davis Cup |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 10/06 | Jasin Jakupi Davis Cup |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tsung-Hao Huang vs Saba Purtseladze?
Our model gives 63% to Saba Purtseladze, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.