Tennis · W35 Buzau · 07/07, 09:00

Prediction: Carmen Andreea Herea vs Sara Victoria Balan

Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 53% to Sara Victoria Balan; the market gives 72% to Carmen Andreea Herea (odds 1.30).

Recent form leaves Carmen Andreea Herea with 5 wins and 5 losses over 10 games; Sara Victoria Balan has piled up 6-4 in the same span.

61%1
61% 39%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Carmen Andreea Herea 1541 · Sara Victoria Balan 1562
Carmen Andreea HereaSara Victoria Balan
Our model47%53%
Market72%28%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Head-to-head: Carmen Andreea Herea 1–0 Sara Victoria Balan (1).
  • Note: Carmen Andreea Herea makes many double faults (6.2/match).

Statistics

Carmen Andreea HereaSara Victoria Balan
Win %60%70%
Win % · Clay 60% (10) 70% (10)
Sets (G-P)1.4-1.11.6-0.7
Games (G-P)12.6-11.411.3-9.1
Aces1.30.3
Double faults6.21.1
1st serve %61.3%57.5%
Break %47.9%57.3%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.8

H2H · Carmen Andreea Herea 10 Sara Victoria Balan (1)

Head-to-head (H2H) · Carmen Andreea Herea 10 Sara Victoria Balan

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DateSetsGamesRes.
23/07/25
ITF W15 Campina
2-011-5W

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Carmen Andreea Herea

WWWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
04/07 Weronika Falkowska
W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay
0-2 10-13 L
03/07 Sandra Samir
W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay
2-1 17-10 W
02/07 Giorgia Pedone
W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay
2-0 12-5 W
01/07 Nina Vargova
W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay
2-1 17-17 W
30/06 Rikke De Koning
W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay
2-1 16-10 W
18/06 Sofia Rocchetti
W35 San Gregorio · ~Clay
1-2 10-15 L
16/06 Luna Maria Cinalli
W35 San Gregorio · ~Clay
2-0 13-10 W
11/06 Alessandra Mazzola
W35 San Gregorio · ~Clay
0-2 7-12 L
10/06 Angelica Raggi
W35 San Gregorio · ~Clay
2-0 12-7 W
24/05 Nina Radovanovic
W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
1-2 12-15 L

Sara Victoria Balan

LWWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
27/06 Chiara Fornasieri
W15 Galati · ~Clay
1-2 10-15 L
26/06 Allegra Korpanec Davies
W15 Galati · ~Clay
2-0 12-3 W
25/06 Alesia Breaz
W15 Galati · ~Clay
2-0 14-10 W
24/06 Lavinia Tanasie
W15 Galati · ~Clay
2-0 13-8 W
20/06 Lavinia Tanasie
W15 Bucharest · ~Clay
1-2 10-15 L
19/06 Anastasia Safta
W15 Bucharest · ~Clay
2-0 12-9 W
18/06 Alessia Marinescu
W15 Bucharest · ~Clay
2-0 11-5 W
17/06 Alexia Patru
W15 Bucharest · ~Clay
2-0 12-2 W
14/06 Denise Hrdinkova
UTR Pro Match Series Women · Clay
0-2 5-12 L
13/06 Divna Ratkovic
UTR Pro Match Series Women · Clay
2-1 14-12 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Carmen Andreea Herea vs Sara Victoria Balan?

Our model gives 61% to Carmen Andreea Herea, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.