Prediction: Ekaterina Kazionova vs Ilinca D Amariei
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 55% to Ekaterina Kazionova; the market gives 59% to Ekaterina Kazionova (odds 1.57).
Recent form leaves Ekaterina Kazionova with 5 wins and 5 losses over 10 games; Ilinca D Amariei has piled up 6-4 in the same span.
57%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ekaterina Kazionova 1505 · Ilinca D Amariei 1470
| Ekaterina Kazionova | Ilinca D Amariei | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 45% |
| Market | 59% | 41% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Ekaterina Kazionova makes many double faults (5.2/match).
Statistics
| Ekaterina Kazionova | Ilinca D Amariei | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (10) | 25% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.2 | 1.1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.1-10.6 | 10.1-9.9 |
| Aces | 0.3 | 0 |
| Double faults | 5.2 | 2.1 |
| 1st serve % | 57.1% | 56.6% |
| Break % | 56.1% | 47.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ekaterina Kazionova
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/07 | Lucie Nguyen Tan W35 Aix-les-Bains · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 30/06 | Liv Boulard W35 Aix-les-Bains · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 25/06 | Victoria Pohle W15 Kamen · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Tessa Johanna Brockmann W15 Kamen · ~Clay |
2-1 | 19-15 | W |
| 23/06 | Anna Burchak W15 Kamen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 15/06 | Deborah Chiesa WTA Brescia · Clay |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 14/06 | Julie Struplova WTA Brescia · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 11/06 | Mia Ristic W100 Zagreb · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 10/06 | Lina Gjorcheska W100 Zagreb · ~Clay |
2-1 | 14-15 | W |
| 16/05 | Fiona Ferro WTA Rabat · Clay |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
Ilinca D Amariei
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/06 | Gina Feistel W50 Haskovo · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 17/06 | Oana Georgeta Simion W50 Haskovo · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 07/06 | Melis Rasim W100 Zagreb · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 04/06 | Cristiana Nicoleta Todoni W15 Focsani · ~Clay |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 17/12 | Rikke De Koning W15 Antalya · ~Hard |
0-1 | 3-6 | L |
| 12/12 | Aran Teixido Garcia W15 Antalya · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 11/12 | Anna Snigireva W15 Antalya · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 10/12 | Maddalena Giordano W15 Antalya · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 27/11 | Julie Struplova W35 Antalya · ~Hard |
1-2 | 9-16 | L |
| 27/11 | Zumra Balkan W35 Antalya · ~Hard |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ekaterina Kazionova vs Ilinca D Amariei?
Our model gives 57% to Ekaterina Kazionova, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.