Tennis · Challenger Liege · 06/07, 10:00
Prediction: Gerard Campana Lee vs Michiel de Krom
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 57% to Gerard Campana Lee; the market gives 59% to Gerard Campana Lee (odds 1.57).
On recent form, Gerard Campana Lee is 6-4 (wins-losses) over their last 10 matches and Michiel de Krom 5-5 over theirs.
58%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Gerard Campana Lee 1539 · Michiel de Krom 1490
| Gerard Campana Lee | Michiel de Krom | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 43% |
| Market | 59% | 41% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Gerard Campana Lee (rating 1539 vs 1490).
Statistics
| Gerard Campana Lee | Michiel de Krom | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 60% (10) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.9 | 1-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.7-10.6 | 9.8-9.4 |
| Aces | 3 | 0.6 |
| Double faults | 2 | 1.9 |
| 1st serve % | 66.9% | 59.3% |
| Break % | 55.9% | 55.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Gerard Campana Lee
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | Fadi Bidan Challenger Liege · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 21/06 | Dimitar Kisimov Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 18/06 | Lucio Ratti Challenger Royan · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 17/06 | Thomas Faurel Challenger Royan · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 16/06 | Philip Henning Challenger Royan · Clay |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 15/06 | Adan Freire Da Silva Challenger Royan · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 14/06 | Paul Theate Challenger Royan · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 07/06 | Carlos Sanchez Jover Challenger Cattolica · Clay |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 29/05 | Matyas Fuele M15 Brcko · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 28/05 | Henry Best M15 Brcko · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
Michiel de Krom
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | Niklas Schell Challenger Liege · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 02/07 | Sergi Fita Juan M15 Getxo · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 30/06 | Noah Lopez Cherubino M15 Getxo · ~Clay |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 19/06 | Ryan Nijboer M15 Mungia-Laukariz · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 18/06 | Noah Lopez Cherubino M15 Mungia-Laukariz · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 17/06 | Sergi Fita Juan M15 Mungia-Laukariz · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 16/06 | Enrique Carrascosa Diaz M15 Mungia-Laukariz · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 02/06 | Taym Alazmeh M15 Rosbach · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 27/05 | Matteo Martineau M25 Troisdorf · ~Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 17/05 | Alejo Sanchez Quilez Challenger Istanbul · Clay |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Gerard Campana Lee vs Michiel de Krom?
Our model gives 58% to Gerard Campana Lee, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.