Tennis · Challenger Liege · 08/07, 10:00
Prediction: Sergey Fomin vs Manas Manoj Dhamne
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 56% to Sergey Fomin; the market gives 50% to Sergey Fomin (odds 1.83).
On recent form, Sergey Fomin is 5-5 (wins-losses) over their last 10 matches and Manas Manoj Dhamne 1-9 over theirs.
53%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sergey Fomin 1463 · Manas Manoj Dhamne 1421
| Sergey Fomin | Manas Manoj Dhamne | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 44% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sergey Fomin (rating 1463 vs 1421).
Statistics
| Sergey Fomin | Manas Manoj Dhamne | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 20% |
| Win % · Clay | 29% (7) | 20% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.2 | 0.7-1.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.8-9.9 | 11-14 |
| Aces | 5.7 | 2.3 |
| Double faults | 3.8 | 3.7 |
| 1st serve % | 68.3% | 60% |
| Break % | 46.7% | 34.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sergey Fomin
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/06 | Olle Wallin Challenger Brasov · Clay |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 28/06 | Mircea-Alexandru Jecan Challenger Brasov · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 23/06 | Max Alcala Gurri Challenger Targu Mures · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 26/05 | Sumit Nagal Challenger Chisinau · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 25/05 | Dragos Nicolae Cazacu Challenger Chisinau · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 19/05 | Andrej Nedic Challenger Istanbul · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 17/05 | Cyril Vandermeersch M25 Kutaisi · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 15/05 | Alexandr Binda M25 Kutaisi · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 13/05 | Mikhail Kulyagin M25 Kutaisi · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 30/04 | Max Hans Rehberg Challenger Shymkent · Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
Manas Manoj Dhamne
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/06 | Ioannis Xilas Challenger Troyes · Clay |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 23/06 | Eero Vasa Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 16/06 | Leo Raquillet Challenger Royan · Clay |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 31/05 | Pietro Orlando Fellin Challenger Perugia · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 27/05 | Remy Bertola Challenger Vicenza · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 25/05 | Frederico Ferreira Silva Challenger Vicenza · Clay |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 20/05 | Petr Nesterov Challenger Cervia · Clay |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 18/05 | Mitchell Krueger Challenger Cervia · Clay |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 10/05 | Alejandro Moro Canas Challenger Oeiras · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 05/05 | Michele Mecarelli M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sergey Fomin vs Manas Manoj Dhamne?
Our model gives 53% to Sergey Fomin, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.