Tennis · Challenger Liege · 08/07, 10:00
Prediction: Maxime Chazal vs Emilien Demanet
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 51% to Maxime Chazal; the market gives 63% to Emilien Demanet (odds 1.50).
Over their last 10 matches, Maxime Chazal sits at 5-5 (W-L), while Emilien Demanet arrives on a 6-4 run.
57%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Maxime Chazal 1525 · Emilien Demanet 1521
| Maxime Chazal | Emilien Demanet | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 49% |
| Market | 38% | 63% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Maxime Chazal | Emilien Demanet | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 60% (10) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1 | 1.3-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.9-9.3 | 12.1-10.4 |
| Aces | 1.5 | 2.8 |
| Double faults | 2.2 | 1.2 |
| 1st serve % | 67.3% | 65.7% |
| Break % | 35% | 46.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Maxime Chazal
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/07 | Inaki Montes-De La Torre Challenger Troyes · Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 30/06 | Patrick Zahraj Challenger Troyes · Clay |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 29/06 | Fryderyk Lechno-Wasiutynski Challenger Troyes · Clay |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 28/06 | Rodrigo Alujas Challenger Troyes · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 29/05 | Arthur Nagel M25 Carnac · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-9 | L |
| 28/05 | Alexandre Reco M25 Carnac · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 27/05 | Mickael Kaouk M25 Carnac · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 25/05 | Younes Lalami Laaroussi M25 Carnac · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 21/05 | Alec Deckers M25 Deauville · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 20/05 | Noah Karma M25 Deauville · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Emilien Demanet
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/07 | Yannik Kelm M25 Nivelles · ~Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 01/07 | Adan Freire Da Silva M25 Nivelles · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 30/06 | Jack Loge M25 Nivelles · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 25/06 | Harold Huens M25 Brussels · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Felix Romeo M25 Brussels · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 17/06 | Carlos Sanchez Jover Challenger Royan · Clay |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 16/06 | Maxime Janvier Challenger Royan · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 15/06 | Thomas Fancutt Challenger Royan · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 27/05 | Raphael Perot M25 Carnac · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 25/05 | Pablo Trochu M25 Carnac · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Maxime Chazal vs Emilien Demanet?
Our model gives 57% to Emilien Demanet, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.