Tennis · Challenger Liege · 08/07, 10:00

Prediction: Pedro Boscardin Dias vs Daniel Michalski

Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 54% to Daniel Michalski; the market gives 54% to Pedro Boscardin Dias (odds 1.73).

Over their last 10 matches, Pedro Boscardin Dias sits at 3-7 (W-L), while Daniel Michalski arrives on a 4-6 run.

50%1
50% 50%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Pedro Boscardin Dias 1436 · Daniel Michalski 1461
Pedro Boscardin DiasDaniel Michalski
Our model46%54%
Market54%46%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Pedro Boscardin Dias dominates on serve: 10.6 aces and 41.9% break avg.
  • Head-to-head: Pedro Boscardin Dias 0–1 Daniel Michalski (1).

Statistics

Pedro Boscardin DiasDaniel Michalski
Win %20%40%
Win % · Clay 22% (9) 40% (10)
Sets (G-P)0.8-1.70.9-1.4
Games (G-P)11-14.310.4-11.3
Aces10.62
Double faults3.11.7
1st serve %63.6%65.7%
Break %41.9%69.8%
Estimated total games (ours) 22.9

H2H · Pedro Boscardin Dias 01 Daniel Michalski (1)

Head-to-head (H2H) · Pedro Boscardin Dias 01 Daniel Michalski

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DateSetsGamesRes.
27/06/22
Challenger Troyes
1-29-15L

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Pedro Boscardin Dias

LLLLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
22/06 Kyrian Jacquet
Wimbledon · Grass
0-2 7-13 L
16/06 Jan Choinski
Challenger Poznan · Clay
0-2 5-13 L
09/06 Emilio Nava
Challenger Bratislava · Clay
1-2 12-16 L
03/06 Maxim Mrva
Challenger Prostejov · Clay
0-2 8-12 L
26/05 Chun Hsin Tseng
Challenger Vicenza · Clay
0-2 5-12 L
20/05 Alexis Galarneau
French Open · Clay
1-2 13-16 L
18/05 Nikoloz Basilashvili
French Open · Clay
2-0 13-10 W
20/04 Liam Draxl
Challenger Savannah · Clay
1-2 17-19 L
17/04 Joao Lucas Reis da Silva
Challenger Tallahassee · Clay
1-2 14-16 L
15/04 Alex Rybakov
Challenger Tallahassee · Clay
2-1 16-16 W

Daniel Michalski

LLWLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
30/06 Francesco Passaro
Challenger Milan · Clay
0-2 9-13 L
25/06 Inaki Montes-De La Torre
Challenger Plovdiv · Clay
0-2 7-13 L
22/06 Gijs Brouwer
Challenger Plovdiv · Clay
2-0 12-2 W
16/06 Gustavo Heide
Challenger Poznan · Clay
0-2 4-12 L
07/06 Andrej Martin
Challenger Bratislava · Clay
1-2 15-16 L
01/06 Viktor Durasovic
Challenger Prostejov · Clay
0-2 4-12 L
31/05 Andrew Paulson
Challenger Prostejov · Clay
2-1 16-11 W
21/05 Hynek Barton
Challenger Istanbul · Clay
0-2 7-12 L
21/05 Benjamin Hassan
Challenger Istanbul · Clay
2-1 18-15 W
18/05 Marat Sharipov
Challenger Istanbul · Clay
2-0 12-7 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Pedro Boscardin Dias vs Daniel Michalski?

Our model gives 50% to Pedro Boscardin Dias, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.