Tennis · Challenger Liege · 08/07, 10:00
Prediction: Matteo Martineau vs Philip Henning
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 54% to Matteo Martineau; the market gives 50% to Matteo Martineau (odds 1.83).
On recent form, Matteo Martineau is 3-7 (wins-losses) over their last 10 matches and Philip Henning 7-3 over theirs.
52%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Matteo Martineau 1510 · Philip Henning 1479
| Matteo Martineau | Philip Henning | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 46% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Matteo Martineau makes many double faults (4.9/match).
- Note: Philip Henning makes many double faults (4.5/match).
Statistics
| Matteo Martineau | Philip Henning | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (10) | 0% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.3 | 1.3-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.9-11.8 | 11-8.9 |
| Aces | 3.7 | 3 |
| Double faults | 4.9 | 4.5 |
| 1st serve % | 65.9% | 52% |
| Break % | 49.6% | 32.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Matteo Martineau
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/06 | Petr Nesterov Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 22/06 | Iliyan Radulov Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 15/06 | Luca Wiedenmann Challenger Parma · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 14/06 | Daniel Salazar Challenger Parma · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 10/06 | Tristan Boyer Challenger Lyon · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 09/06 | Mickael Kaouk Challenger Lyon · Clay |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 08/06 | Maxime Janvier Challenger Lyon · Clay |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 07/06 | Mae Malige Challenger Lyon · Clay |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 31/05 | Sander Jong Challenger Heilbronn · Clay |
1-2 | 18-17 | L |
| 29/05 | Marcel Zielinski M25 Troisdorf · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
Philip Henning
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/06 | Dominic Stephan Stricker Challenger Troyes · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 23/06 | Andres Santamarta Roig Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Gerard Campana Lee Challenger Royan · Clay |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 07/06 | Alexander Donski Challenger Centurion · Hard |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 06/06 | Harold Mayot Challenger Centurion · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 05/06 | Giles Hussey Challenger Centurion · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 04/06 | Robert Strombachs Challenger Centurion · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 02/06 | Orel Kimhi Challenger Centurion · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 29/05 | Stefano Napolitano Challenger Centurion · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 28/05 | Luc Koenig Challenger Centurion · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Matteo Martineau vs Philip Henning?
Our model gives 52% to Matteo Martineau, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.