Tennis · Challenger Liege · 08/07, 10:00
Prediction: Felix Balshaw vs Carlos Sanchez Jover
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 62% to Felix Balshaw; the market gives 73% to Felix Balshaw (odds 1.28).
Recent form leaves Felix Balshaw with 6 wins and 4 losses over 10 games; Carlos Sanchez Jover has piled up 2-8 in the same span.
68%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Felix Balshaw 1596 · Carlos Sanchez Jover 1509
| Felix Balshaw | Carlos Sanchez Jover | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 62% | 38% |
| Market | 73% | 27% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Felix Balshaw (rating 1596 vs 1509).
Statistics
| Felix Balshaw | Carlos Sanchez Jover | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 70% (10) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.9 | 1.1-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.9-9.9 | 12-13.5 |
| Aces | 5.5 | 1.8 |
| Double faults | 2.9 | 2.5 |
| 1st serve % | 67.8% | 63.7% |
| Break % | 48.9% | 39.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Felix Balshaw
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06 | Sumit Nagal Challenger Targu Mures · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 26/06 | Andrej Nedic Challenger Targu Mures · Clay |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 25/06 | Martin Krumich Challenger Targu Mures · Clay |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 23/06 | Stefan Horia Haita Challenger Targu Mures · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 22/06 | Peter Makk Challenger Targu Mures · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 21/06 | Franco Ribero Challenger Targu Mures · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 17/06 | Lucio Ratti Challenger Royan · Clay |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 16/06 | Eliakim Coulibaly Challenger Royan · Clay |
2-1 | 15-8 | W |
| 14/06 | David Jorda Sanchis Challenger Lyon · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 13/06 | Daniel Elahi Galan Challenger Lyon · Clay |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
Carlos Sanchez Jover
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/06 | Max Alcala Gurri Challenger Royan · Clay |
1-2 | 14-19 | L |
| 17/06 | Emilien Demanet Challenger Royan · Clay |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 15/06 | Alejandro Moro Canas Challenger Royan · Clay |
2-1 | 14-16 | W |
| 11/06 | Enrico Dalla Valle Challenger Cattolica · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 09/06 | Matej Dodig Challenger Cattolica · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 08/06 | Manuel Mazza Challenger Cattolica · Clay |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 07/06 | Gerard Campana Lee Challenger Cattolica · Clay |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 24/05 | Pietro Orlando Fellin Challenger Vicenza · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 18/05 | Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo Challenger Istanbul · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 12/05 | Taro Daniel Challenger Valencia · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Felix Balshaw vs Carlos Sanchez Jover?
Our model gives 68% to Felix Balshaw, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.