Tennis · Wimbledon WD · 07/07, 12:00
Prediction: Aoyama/Liang vs Hsieh/Wang
Our model (Elo on grass, opponent-adjusted) gives 55% to Aoyama/Liang; the market gives 59% to Hsieh/Wang (odds 1.57).
Over their last 10 matches, Aoyama/Liang sits at 7-3 (W-L), while Hsieh/Wang arrives on a 5-5 run.
53%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Aoyama/Liang 1597 · Hsieh/Wang 1562
| Aoyama/Liang | Hsieh/Wang | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 45% |
| Market | 41% | 59% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Aoyama/Liang | Hsieh/Wang | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 90% | 70% |
| Win % · Grass | 100% (5) | 100% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.8-0.5 | 1.4-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.2-8.4 | 12-10.3 |
| Aces | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| Double faults | 2.6 | 3.3 |
| 1st serve % | 68.9% | 65% |
| Break % | 47.3% | 41.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Aoyama/Liang
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | Birrell/Gibson Wimbledon WD · Grass |
2-1 | 17-10 | W |
| 02/07 | Bouzas Maneiro/Sonmez Wimbledon WD · Grass |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
| 13/06 | Neel/Olmos WTA Hertogenbosch WD · Grass |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 11/06 | Andreescu/Boisson WTA Hertogenbosch WD · Grass |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 09/06 | Alexandrova/Joint WTA Hertogenbosch WD · Grass |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 05/06 | Danilina/Krunic French Open WD · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 03/06 | Guo/Mladenovic French Open WD · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 01/06 | Chong/Erjavec French Open WD · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 29/05 | Ostapenko/Routliffe French Open WD · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 27/05 | Bouzas Maneiro/Cocciaretto French Open WD · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Hsieh/Wang
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | Mertens/Zhang Wimbledon WD · Grass |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 02/07 | Dudeney/Xu Wimbledon WD · Grass |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 25/06 | Korpatsch/Webley-Smith WTA Bad Homburg WD · Grass |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 24/06 | Eikeri/Gleason WTA Bad Homburg WD · Grass |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 29/05 | Guo/Mladenovic French Open WD · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 26/05 | Kasatkina/Osorio French Open WD · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 13/05 | Andreeva/Shnaider WTA Rome WD · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 10/05 | Mertens/Zhang WTA Rome WD · Clay |
2-1 | 23-18 | W |
| 19/12 | Ferri/Misasi M15 Antalya MD · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 18/12 | Stepanov/Yazdani M15 Antalya MD · ~Hard |
2-1 | 13-9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Aoyama/Liang vs Hsieh/Wang?
Our model gives 53% to Hsieh/Wang, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.