Tennis · Challenger Braunschweig · 06/07, 10:00

Prediction: Samuele Pieri vs Rudolf Molleker

Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 54% to Rudolf Molleker; the market gives 50% to Rudolf Molleker (odds 1.83).

Recent form leaves Samuele Pieri with 3 wins and 7 losses over 10 games; Rudolf Molleker has piled up 8-2 in the same span.

52%2
48% 52%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Samuele Pieri 1495 · Rudolf Molleker 1520
Samuele PieriRudolf Molleker
Our model46%54%
Market50%50%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Head-to-head: Samuele Pieri 1–0 Rudolf Molleker (1).

Statistics

Samuele PieriRudolf Molleker
Win %50%60%
Win % · Clay 50% (10) 60% (10)
Sets (G-P)1.1-1.21.4-1
Games (G-P)10.7-11.512.4-11.3
Aces2.23.1
Double faults1.82.6
1st serve %64.9%67.9%
Break %39.2%38.5%
Estimated total games (ours) 23.1

H2H · Samuele Pieri 10 Rudolf Molleker (1)

Head-to-head (H2H) · Samuele Pieri 10 Rudolf Molleker

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DateSetsGamesRes.
01/03/23
M15 Antalya
2-013-9W

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Samuele Pieri

WWLLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
05/07 Noel Larwig
Challenger Braunschweig · Clay
2-0 14-10 W
30/06 Kilian Feldbausch
Challenger Troyes · Clay
0-2 4-12 L
26/06 Max Hans Rehberg
M25 Brussels · ~Clay
1-2 9-14 L
25/06 Tim Handel
M25 Brussels · ~Clay
2-0 13-7 W
24/06 Kai Wehnelt
M25 Brussels · ~Clay
2-1 15-10 W
09/06 Oriol Roca Batalla
Challenger Cattolica · Clay
0-2 8-13 L
08/06 Francesco Forti
Challenger Cattolica · Clay
0-2 12-14 L
07/06 Giovanni Oradini
Challenger Cattolica · Clay
2-1 14-16 W
27/05 Diego Dedura-Palomero
Challenger Vicenza · Clay
0-2 5-12 L
26/05 Jerome Kym
Challenger Vicenza · Clay
2-0 13-7 W

Rudolf Molleker

WLLLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
05/07 Stefan Seifert
Challenger Braunschweig · Clay
2-0 12-6 W
01/07 Jonathan Mridha
M25 Marburg · ~Clay
1-2 13-17 L
15/06 Mathys Erhard
Challenger Poznan · Clay
1-2 13-18 L
12/06 Georgii Kravchenko
M25 Ceska Lipa · ~Clay
0-2 11-14 L
11/06 Dominik Recek
M25 Ceska Lipa · ~Clay
1-0 7-6 W
10/06 Jan Hrazdil
M25 Ceska Lipa · ~Clay
2-1 17-14 W
01/05 Tom Gentzsch
Challenger Ostrava · Clay
1-2 10-16 L
29/04 Henri Squire
Challenger Ostrava · Clay
2-1 16-13 W
28/04 Daniel Siniakov
Challenger Ostrava · Clay
2-0 13-6 W
27/04 Matyas Cerny
Challenger Ostrava · Clay
2-0 12-3 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Samuele Pieri vs Rudolf Molleker?

Our model gives 52% to Rudolf Molleker, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.