Tennis · Challenger Braunschweig · 06/07, 10:00
Prediction: Norbert Gombos vs Orlando Luz
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 54% to Norbert Gombos; the market gives 79% to Norbert Gombos (odds 1.17).
Over their last 10 matches, Norbert Gombos sits at 6-4 (W-L), while Orlando Luz arrives on a 3-7 run.
68%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Norbert Gombos 1514 · Orlando Luz 1488
| Norbert Gombos | Orlando Luz | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 46% |
| Market | 79% | 21% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Norbert Gombos 1–0 Orlando Luz (1).
- Note: Orlando Luz makes many double faults (4.1/match).
Statistics
| Norbert Gombos | Orlando Luz | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (10) | 44% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.1 | 1-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.8-10.9 | 10.5-11.7 |
| Aces | 5.8 | 5.7 |
| Double faults | 2.4 | 4.1 |
| 1st serve % | 75.3% | 68.3% |
| Break % | 39.7% | 30.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.1
H2H · Norbert Gombos 1 – 0 Orlando Luz (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Norbert Gombos 1–0 Orlando Luz
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/04/24 Challenger Ostrava | 2-1 | 17-16 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Norbert Gombos
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | Marc Majdandzic Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 30/06 | Elmer Moller Challenger Milan · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 29/06 | Georgii Kravchenko Challenger Milan · Clay |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 28/06 | Manuel Mazza Challenger Milan · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 17/06 | Dalibor Svrcina Challenger Poznan · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Olle Wallin Challenger Poznan · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 15/06 | Mathys Erhard Challenger Poznan · Clay |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 15/06 | Aleksander Blus Challenger Poznan · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 08/06 | Jan Choinski Challenger Bratislava · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 04/06 | Hynek Barton Challenger Prostejov · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Orlando Luz
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | Alejo Sanchez Quilez Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 06/06 | Gauthier Onclin ATP Stuttgart · Grass |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 21/02 | Henrique Rocha ATP Santiago · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 20/11 | Pedro Sakamoto Challenger Florianopolis · Clay |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 19/11 | Carlos Maria Zarate Challenger Florianopolis · Clay |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 17/11 | Natan Rodrigues Challenger Florianopolis · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 16/11 | Daniel V C Rebelo Challenger Florianopolis · Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 19/10 | Andrea Collarini Challenger Costa do Sauipe · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 07/09 | Niklas Schell Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 08/07 | David Jorda Sanchis Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Norbert Gombos vs Orlando Luz?
Our model gives 68% to Norbert Gombos, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.