Tennis · Challenger Liege · 06/07, 10:00
Prediction: Ryan Nijboer vs Kasra Rahmani
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 50% to Ryan Nijboer; the market gives 56% to Ryan Nijboer (odds 1.67).
Recent form leaves Ryan Nijboer with 7 wins and 3 losses over 10 games; Kasra Rahmani has piled up 4-6 in the same span.
53%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ryan Nijboer 1560 · Kasra Rahmani 1559
| Ryan Nijboer | Kasra Rahmani | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 50% |
| Market | 56% | 44% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Ryan Nijboer | Kasra Rahmani | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 75% (8) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.8 | 1.6-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.6-9.8 | 12.6-9.9 |
| Aces | 2.7 | 3.1 |
| Double faults | 3.2 | 2.3 |
| 1st serve % | 67.7% | 67% |
| Break % | 39% | 52.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ryan Nijboer
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | Maxence Bertimon Challenger Liege · Clay |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 30/06 | Jonas Forejtek M25 Nivelles · ~Clay |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 20/06 | Izan Almazan Valiente M15 Mungia-Laukariz · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 19/06 | Michiel de Krom M15 Mungia-Laukariz · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 18/06 | Oscar Jose Gutierrez M15 Mungia-Laukariz · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 17/06 | Pavlos Tsitsipas M15 Mungia-Laukariz · ~Clay |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 16/06 | Mikel Martinez M15 Mungia-Laukariz · ~Clay |
2-0 | 11-7 | W |
| 26/05 | Marcel Zielinski M25 Troisdorf · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 15/05 | Daniel Rincon M25 Vic |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 14/05 | Alberto Barroso Campos M25 Vic |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Kasra Rahmani
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | Niels Ratiu Challenger Liege · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 08/05 | Petr Nesterov M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 07/05 | Giacomo Crisostomo M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 06/05 | Francesco Ferrari M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 04/05 | Luca Potenza M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 01/05 | Niccolo Ciavarella M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 30/04 | Pierluigi Basile M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-1 | 19-14 | W |
| 29/04 | Daniel Bagnolini M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-1 | 12-10 | W |
| 27/04 | Jan Werblinski M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 22/04 | Federico Arnaboldi M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ryan Nijboer vs Kasra Rahmani?
Our model gives 53% to Ryan Nijboer, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.