Tennis · Challenger Trieste · 06/07, 10:00
Prediction: Oleg Prihodko vs Giovanni Oradini
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 51% to Oleg Prihodko; the market gives 58% to Oleg Prihodko (odds 1.61).
Over their last 10 matches, Oleg Prihodko sits at 6-4 (W-L), while Giovanni Oradini arrives on a 6-4 run.
55%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Oleg Prihodko 1552 · Giovanni Oradini 1546
| Oleg Prihodko | Giovanni Oradini | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 49% |
| Market | 58% | 42% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Oleg Prihodko | Giovanni Oradini | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 71% (7) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.8 | 1.5-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.1-9.3 | 11.9-8.6 |
| Aces | 5.1 | 5.6 |
| Double faults | 1.1 | 1.8 |
| 1st serve % | 73.3% | 71.4% |
| Break % | 35.8% | 46.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Oleg Prihodko
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | Lorenzo Rottoli Challenger Trieste · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 27/06 | Khumoyun Sultanov M25 Zagreb · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 26/06 | Dimitris Sakellaridis M25 Zagreb · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 25/06 | Glib Sekachov M25 Zagreb · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 23/06 | Vid Mohar M25 Zagreb · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 13/06 | Petar Jovanovic Davis Cup |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 12/06 | Saba Purtseladze Davis Cup |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 11/06 | Jasin Jakupi Davis Cup |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 01/06 | Jan Kumstat Challenger Prostejov · Clay |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 31/05 | Michal Krajci Challenger Prostejov · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Giovanni Oradini
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | Matteo Sciahbasi Challenger Trieste · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 03/07 | Lorenzo Angelini M15 Umag · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-10 | L |
| 02/07 | Paris Pouatcha M15 Umag · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 01/07 | Emanuel Ivanisevic M15 Umag · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 28/06 | Federico Arnaboldi M15 Bergamo · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 27/06 | Pietro Romeo Scomparin M15 Bergamo · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 26/06 | Marcello Serafini M15 Bergamo · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 25/06 | Antonio Caruso M15 Bergamo · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 23/06 | Tobia Grandinetti M15 Bergamo · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 16/06 | Luca Potenza M25 Milano · ~Clay |
1-2 | 16-15 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Oleg Prihodko vs Giovanni Oradini?
Our model gives 55% to Oleg Prihodko, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.