Tennis · Challenger Trieste · 08/07, 10:00
Prediction: Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo vs Dylan Dietrich
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 57% to Dylan Dietrich; the market gives 65% to Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo (odds 1.44).
Over their last 10 matches, Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo sits at 4-6 (W-L), while Dylan Dietrich arrives on a 8-2 run.
55%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo 1529 · Dylan Dietrich 1576
| Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo | Dylan Dietrich | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 57% |
| Market | 65% | 35% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Dylan Dietrich (rating 1529 vs 1576).
- Dylan Dietrich is in better form: 80% recent wins.
Statistics
| Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo | Dylan Dietrich | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 80% |
| Win % · Clay | 56% (9) | 80% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.3 | 1.6-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.2-12.1 | 11.7-8.6 |
| Aces | 2 | 2 |
| Double faults | 2.4 | 1.5 |
| 1st serve % | 69.9% | 69.4% |
| Break % | 37.8% | 47.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/06 | Soonwoo Kwon Wimbledon · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 15/06 | Luca Van Assche Challenger Parma · Clay |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 12/06 | Tristan Boyer Challenger Lyon · Clay |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 10/06 | Luca Van Assche Challenger Lyon · Clay |
2-1 | 14-16 | W |
| 09/06 | Robin Bertrand Challenger Lyon · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 06/06 | Sebastian Baez Challenger Prostejov · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 05/06 | Lautaro Midon Challenger Prostejov · Clay |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 03/06 | Alexander Shevchenko Challenger Prostejov · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 02/06 | Luka Pavlovic Challenger Prostejov · Clay |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 21/05 | David Jorda Sanchis Challenger Istanbul · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Dylan Dietrich
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/06 | Max Hans Rehberg M25 Brussels · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 27/06 | Marvin Moeller M25 Brussels · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 26/06 | Fadi Bidan M25 Brussels · ~Clay |
2-0 | 8-1 | W |
| 25/06 | Robert Strombachs M25 Brussels · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 24/06 | Adan Freire Da Silva M25 Brussels · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 21/06 | Sandro Kopp M25 Klosters · ~Clay |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 20/06 | Kai Wehnelt M25 Klosters · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 19/06 | Adrien Burdet M25 Klosters · ~Clay |
2-1 | 12-10 | W |
| 18/06 | Louis Wessels M25 Klosters · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 16/06 | Inaki Montes-De La Torre M25 Klosters · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo vs Dylan Dietrich?
Our model gives 55% to Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.