Tennis · Challenger Trieste · 08/07, 10:00
Prediction: Lukas Neumayer vs Andrej Nedic
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 54% to Andrej Nedic; the market gives 59% to Lukas Neumayer (odds 1.57).
Over their last 10 matches, Lukas Neumayer sits at 6-4 (W-L), while Andrej Nedic arrives on a 6-4 run.
53%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lukas Neumayer 1539 · Andrej Nedic 1567
| Lukas Neumayer | Andrej Nedic | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 54% |
| Market | 59% | 41% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Lukas Neumayer | Andrej Nedic | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 67% (9) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-0.9 | 1.5-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.6-10.5 | 12.3-9.3 |
| Aces | 1.6 | 1.7 |
| Double faults | 2.2 | 1.3 |
| 1st serve % | 68.6% | 64.7% |
| Break % | 42% | 53.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lukas Neumayer
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/06 | Dusan Lajovic Wimbledon · Grass |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Florian Broska Challenger Poznan · Clay |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 08/06 | Taro Daniel Challenger Bratislava · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 07/06 | Michal Krajci Challenger Bratislava · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 31/05 | Jacopo Vasami Challenger Vicenza · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 30/05 | Chun Hsin Tseng Challenger Vicenza · Clay |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 29/05 | Remy Bertola Challenger Vicenza · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 27/05 | Tristan Boyer Challenger Vicenza · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 25/05 | Li Tu Challenger Vicenza · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 21/05 | Jaime Faria French Open · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Andrej Nedic
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/07 | Keegan Smith Challenger Brasov · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 01/07 | Franco Roncadelli Challenger Brasov · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 29/06 | Harold Mayot Challenger Brasov · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 26/06 | Felix Balshaw Challenger Targu Mures · Clay |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 25/06 | Max Alcala Gurri Challenger Targu Mures · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 24/06 | Sebastian Gima Challenger Targu Mures · Clay |
2-1 | 19-15 | W |
| 23/06 | Alan Fernando Rubio Fierros Challenger Targu Mures · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 21/06 | Nikita Mashtakov M25 Samobor · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-19 | L |
| 20/06 | Andrey Chepelev M25 Samobor · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 19/06 | Sebastian Sorger M25 Samobor · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lukas Neumayer vs Andrej Nedic?
Our model gives 53% to Lukas Neumayer, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.