Tennis · Challenger Trieste · 08/07, 10:00
Prediction: Franco Roncadelli vs Michele Ribecai
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 52% to Franco Roncadelli; the market gives 63% to Michele Ribecai (odds 1.50).
Recent form leaves Franco Roncadelli with 2 wins and 8 losses over 10 games; Michele Ribecai has piled up 7-3 in the same span.
56%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Franco Roncadelli 1499 · Michele Ribecai 1483
| Franco Roncadelli | Michele Ribecai | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 48% |
| Market | 38% | 63% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Franco Roncadelli | Michele Ribecai | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 56% (9) | 40% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.3 | 1.3-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.6-11.7 | 12.8-11.7 |
| Aces | 0.8 | 1.3 |
| Double faults | 0.5 | 3.1 |
| 1st serve % | 59.8% | 65.6% |
| Break % | 40% | 48.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Franco Roncadelli
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07 | Andrej Nedic Challenger Brasov · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 29/06 | Alvaro Guillen Meza Challenger Brasov · Clay |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 22/06 | Dane Sweeny Wimbledon · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 15/06 | Facundo Diaz Acosta Challenger Poznan · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 28/05 | Peter Fajta Challenger Kosice · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 26/05 | Maks Kasnikowski Challenger Kosice · Clay |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 16/05 | Juan Manuel La Serna Challenger Cordoba · Clay |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 15/05 | Guido Ivan Justo Challenger Cordoba · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 14/05 | Nicolas Kicker Challenger Cordoba · Clay |
2-1 | 16-17 | W |
| 13/05 | Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida Challenger Cordoba · Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
Michele Ribecai
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/06 | Daniele Rapagnetta Challenger Milan · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 23/06 | Niels McDonald Challenger Targu Mures · Clay |
1-2 | 13-19 | L |
| 19/06 | Facundo Diaz Acosta Challenger Poznan · Clay |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 18/06 | Joao Lucas Reis da Silva Challenger Poznan · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 17/06 | Genaro Alberto Olivieri Challenger Poznan · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 16/06 | Henri Squire Challenger Poznan · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 08/06 | Franco Agamenone Challenger Cattolica · Clay |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 01/06 | Pablo Llamas Ruiz Challenger Perugia · Clay |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 20/05 | Juan Cruz Martin Manzano Challenger Cervia · Clay |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 19/05 | Ioannis Xilas Challenger Cervia · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Franco Roncadelli vs Michele Ribecai?
Our model gives 56% to Michele Ribecai, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.