Tennis · Challenger Trieste · 08/07, 10:00

Prediction: Raul Brancaccio vs Franco Agamenone

Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 59% to Franco Agamenone; the market gives 46% to Franco Agamenone (odds 2.00).

Over their last 10 matches, Raul Brancaccio sits at 3-7 (W-L), while Franco Agamenone arrives on a 3-7 run.

52%2
48% 52%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Raul Brancaccio 1445 · Franco Agamenone 1506
Raul BrancaccioFranco Agamenone
Our model41%59%
Market54%46%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Franco Agamenone (rating 1445 vs 1506).
  • Franco Agamenone is in better form: 50% recent wins.

Statistics

Raul BrancaccioFranco Agamenone
Win %20%50%
Win % · Clay 22% (9) 50% (10)
Sets (G-P)0.9-1.61.2-1.3
Games (G-P)10.8-13.412.3-12.4
Aces3.12.2
Double faults2.43.9
1st serve %69.2%64.1%
Break %36.3%49.7%
Estimated total games (ours) 23.8

H2H · Raul Brancaccio 11 Franco Agamenone (2)

Head-to-head (H2H) · Raul Brancaccio 11 Franco Agamenone

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DateSetsGamesRes.
10/01/23
Australian Open
2-012-5W
10/05/17
ITF Italy F12
0-23-12L

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Raul Brancaccio

WLLLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
02/07 Marco Cecchinato
Challenger Milan · Clay
0-2 8-13 L
22/06 Arthur Gea
Wimbledon · Grass
0-2 8-13 L
15/06 Sebastian Ofner
Challenger Parma · Clay
0-2 7-12 L
12/06 Roberto Carballes Baena
Challenger Cattolica · Clay
1-2 13-15 L
10/06 Liam Broady
Challenger Cattolica · Clay
2-0 12-6 W
08/06 Pierluigi Basile
Challenger Cattolica · Clay
2-0 14-12 W
01/06 Alexander Shevchenko
Challenger Prostejov · Clay
1-2 13-17 L
25/05 Diego Dedura-Palomero
Challenger Vicenza · Clay
1-2 9-17 L
18/05 Stan Wawrinka
ATP Geneva · Clay
1-2 14-17 L
17/05 Clement Tabur
ATP Geneva · Clay
1-2 10-12 L

Franco Agamenone

WLLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
24/06 Duje Ajdukovic
Challenger Targu Mures · Clay
0-2 10-14 L
22/06 Luca Castelnuovo
Challenger Targu Mures · Clay
2-1 16-14 W
15/06 Stefano Napolitano
Challenger Parma · Clay
1-2 15-16 L
10/06 Francesco Forti
Challenger Cattolica · Clay
1-2 11-18 L
08/06 Michele Ribecai
Challenger Cattolica · Clay
2-1 16-15 W
29/05 Radu Albot
Challenger Chisinau · Clay
0-2 11-14 L
28/05 Kimmer Coppejans
Challenger Chisinau · Clay
2-0 12-5 W
26/05 Filip Cristian Jianu
Challenger Chisinau · Clay
2-1 14-11 W
22/05 Andrej Nedic
Challenger Istanbul · Clay
0-2 6-12 L
21/05 Thiago Monteiro
Challenger Istanbul · Clay
2-0 12-5 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Raul Brancaccio vs Franco Agamenone?

Our model gives 52% to Franco Agamenone, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.