Tennis · Challenger Braunschweig · 06/07, 10:00
Prediction: Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Vincent Marysko
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 57% to Thiago Seyboth Wild; the market gives 88% to Thiago Seyboth Wild (odds 1.07).
Recent form leaves Thiago Seyboth Wild with 6 wins and 4 losses over 10 games; Vincent Marysko has piled up 6-4 in the same span.
74%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Thiago Seyboth Wild 1577 · Vincent Marysko 1530
| Thiago Seyboth Wild | Vincent Marysko | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 43% |
| Market | 88% | 12% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Thiago Seyboth Wild (rating 1577 vs 1530).
- Thiago Seyboth Wild dominates on serve: 11.1 aces and 55.6% break avg.
Statistics
| Thiago Seyboth Wild | Vincent Marysko | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 70% (10) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.7 | 1.3-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.5-8.4 | 11.2-9.1 |
| Aces | 11.1 | 4.1 |
| Double faults | 2.1 | 1.3 |
| 1st serve % | 71.5% | 71% |
| Break % | 55.6% | 42.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Thiago Seyboth Wild
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | Oliver Majdandzic Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 28/06 | Gonzalo Villanueva Challenger Piracicaba · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 27/06 | Juan Manuel La Serna Challenger Piracicaba · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 26/06 | Lucas Andrade da Silva Challenger Piracicaba · Clay |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 26/06 | Luis Felipe Miguel Challenger Piracicaba · Clay |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 17/06 | Nick Hardt Challenger Asuncion · Clay |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 16/06 | Alex Santino Nunez Vera Challenger Asuncion · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 20/05 | Emilio Nava French Open · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 19/05 | Yu Hsiou Hsu French Open · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 13/05 | Daniel Elahi Galan Challenger Zagreb · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Vincent Marysko
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | Viktor Durasovic Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 01/07 | Filip Jeff Planinsek M25 Marburg · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 27/06 | Oleksii Krutykh M15 Kamen · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 25/06 | Tim Hammes M15 Kamen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 23/06 | Patrick-Valentin Moise M15 Kamen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 18/06 | Marcel Zielinski M15 Saarlouis · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 17/06 | Taym Alazmeh M15 Saarlouis · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 06/06 | Niels McDonald M15 Rosbach · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 05/06 | Julien Penzlin M15 Rosbach · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 04/06 | Richard Antoni M15 Rosbach · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Vincent Marysko?
Our model gives 74% to Thiago Seyboth Wild, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.