Prediction: Georgii Kravchenko vs Gabriele Crivellaro
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 72% to Georgii Kravchenko; the market gives 88% to Georgii Kravchenko (odds 1.06).
Over their last 10 matches, Georgii Kravchenko sits at 7-3 (W-L), while Gabriele Crivellaro arrives on a 3-7 run.
| Georgii Kravchenko | Gabriele Crivellaro | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 72% | 28% |
| Market | 88% | 12% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Georgii Kravchenko (rating 1582 vs 1421).
- Georgii Kravchenko dominates on serve: 6.2 aces and 40.5% break avg.
- Georgii Kravchenko is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Georgii Kravchenko 1–0 Gabriele Crivellaro (1).
Statistics
| Georgii Kravchenko | Gabriele Crivellaro | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 20% |
| Win % · Clay | 80% (10) | 0% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.7 | 0.6-1.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 13-10.5 | 8-11.7 |
| Aces | 6.2 | 2.3 |
| Double faults | 1.9 | 2.3 |
| 1st serve % | 71.1% | 64.9% |
| Break % | 40.5% | 36.4% |
H2H · Georgii Kravchenko 1 – 0 Gabriele Crivellaro (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Georgii Kravchenko 1–0 Gabriele Crivellaro
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16/06/26 M25 Milano | 2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Georgii Kravchenko
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/06 | Norbert Gombos Challenger Milan · Clay |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 28/06 | Niccolo Ciavarella Challenger Milan · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 20/06 | Fausto Tabacco M25 Milano · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 19/06 | Giuseppe La Vela M25 Milano · ~Clay |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 18/06 | Stefano D'Agostino M25 Milano · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 17/06 | Gian Marco Ortenzi M25 Milano · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 16/06 | Gabriele Crivellaro M25 Milano · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 14/06 | Oleksii Krutykh M25 Ceska Lipa · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 13/06 | Jan Kumstat M25 Ceska Lipa · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 12/06 | Rudolf Molleker M25 Ceska Lipa · ~Clay |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
Gabriele Crivellaro
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/06 | Georgii Kravchenko M25 Milano · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 17/03 | Nik Mikovic M15 Rovinj · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 17/02 | Federico Arnaboldi M25 Trento · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-11 | L |
| 16/02 | Leonardo Primucci M25 Trento · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 15/02 | Andrea Zanini M25 Trento · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 01/02 | Lorenzo Rottoli Challenger Cesenatico · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 28/01 | Alaa Trifi M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 04/11 | Amaury Raynel ITF M15 San Gregorio di Catania · Clay |
1-2 | 7-16 | L |
| 13/10 | Gianluca Cadenasso M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 08/10 | Sebastian Sorger M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Georgii Kravchenko vs Gabriele Crivellaro?
Our model gives 81% to Georgii Kravchenko, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.